The rise of the Chinese consumer: theory and evidence
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Chichester
Wiley
2005
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Table of contents Inhaltsverzeichnis Klappentext |
| Physical Description: | XVI, 295 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 9780470018699 0470018690 |
Staff View
MARC
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| adam_text | Contents
Foreword
Preface
Acknowledgements
Section
1
How big is China s economy?
The revaluation effect
Economic growth and its effects on aggregate household
consumption
Base case for evolution of US$ value of China household
consumption spending
Implications for global consumer product companies of our
base case
Other scenarios
References
2
Economic Growth
Drivers of long-run economic growth
Constraints to long-ran growth
Evaluating China s performance and prospects
How has China s recent growth been achieved and is this
growth rate sustainable?
Physical capital stock accumulation
Poor return on investment
Technological change
Trade
viii The Rise of the Chinese Consumer
Environmental issues
48
Human capital
50
Institutional context
50
References
54
3
Near-Term Risks to Consumption Arising from
China s Efforts to Combat Overheating
55
Consumption spending should hold up well
58
4
China s Demographic Trends and Their Implications for
Household Consumption
61
Population growth stops in ten years time
62
An ageing population
64
Changing lifestyles
64
Urbanisation, population migration and education
67
Changes in educational status
72
Changes in income distribution
72
Expenditure and propensity to spend out of income
77
Key conclusions from demographics on implications
for consumption spending patterns
77
Reference
79
5
Social and Cultural Influences on Consumption
81
Reference
84
6
China s Growth Potential for Key Product Categories
85
Televisions
86
Mobile handsets
87
Fixed-line telephony
90
Personal computers
93
Radios
96
Autos
98
Air travel
101
Section
EVIDENCE
105
7
Introducing the Proprietary China Consumer Survey
107
Survey introduction
107
8
General: Lifestyle, Income and Leverage
113
Implications for financial services providers
131
Contents ix
9 Autos 135
Implications for automotive producers
10
Implications for alcoholic beverage producers
Implications for nonalcoholic beverage producers
11
Implications for semiconductors and consumer electronics
12
Implications for food producers
13
Implications for food retailers
14
Implications for food service companies
15 Household and Personal Care
Implications for household and personal care companies
16
Implications for luxury goods producers
17
Implications for mobile phone handset producers
18
Implications for tobacco producers
19
Implications for airline and hotel/leisure operators
Appendix A: PPP Convergence Model
Appendix B: Global Consumption Function
Appendix C: Methodology of Product Category Projection
Bibliography
Index
China is already the world s largest market for
steel, televisions, and mobile phone handsets
and currently accounts for
demand and
Yet structural under-valuation of the currency
means that in US$ terms China accounts for
only
around
USA. Continued urbanisation and strong
economic growth, rising income levels and real
exchange rate appreciation will likely combine
to generate high growth rates of US$
consumption spending growth over the medium
term; Whilst this represents a major top line
sales growth opportunity for global consumer
product companies, our survey work shows that
some sectors are likely to deliver structurally
higher returns than others.
Essential reading for business leaders
and analysts, as well as policy makers,
with an interest in the future of China s
economy: a systematic analysis of likely
trends in the macro-economy and in the
major sectors, with well-informed
commentary on the risks, both downside
and upside.
|
| adam_txt |
Contents
Foreword
Preface
Acknowledgements
Section
1
How big is China's economy?
The 'revaluation effect'
Economic growth and its effects on aggregate household
consumption
Base case for evolution of US$ value of China household
consumption spending
Implications for global consumer product companies of our
base case
Other scenarios
References
2
Economic Growth
Drivers of long-run economic growth
Constraints to long-ran growth
Evaluating China's performance and prospects
How has China's recent growth been achieved and is this
growth rate sustainable?
Physical capital stock accumulation
Poor return on investment
Technological change
Trade
viii The Rise of the Chinese Consumer
Environmental issues
48
Human capital
50
Institutional context
50
References
54
3
Near-Term Risks to Consumption Arising from
China's Efforts to Combat Overheating
55
Consumption spending should hold up well
58
4
China's Demographic Trends and Their Implications for
Household Consumption
61
Population growth stops in ten years' time
62
An ageing population
64
Changing lifestyles
64
Urbanisation, population migration and education
67
Changes in educational status
72
Changes in income distribution
72
Expenditure and propensity to spend out of income
77
Key conclusions from demographics on implications
for consumption spending patterns
77
Reference
79
5
Social and Cultural Influences on Consumption
81
Reference
84
6
China's Growth Potential for Key Product Categories
85
Televisions
86
Mobile handsets
87
Fixed-line telephony
90
Personal computers
93
Radios
96
Autos
98
Air travel
101
Section
EVIDENCE
105
7
Introducing the Proprietary China Consumer Survey
107
Survey introduction
107
8
General: Lifestyle, Income and Leverage
113
Implications for financial services providers
131
Contents ix
9 Autos 135
Implications for automotive producers
10
Implications for alcoholic beverage producers
Implications for nonalcoholic beverage producers
11
Implications for semiconductors and consumer electronics
12
Implications for food producers
13
Implications for food retailers
14
Implications for food service companies
15 Household and Personal Care
Implications for household and personal care companies
16
Implications for luxury goods producers
17
Implications for mobile phone handset producers
18
Implications for tobacco producers
19
Implications for airline and hotel/leisure operators
Appendix A: PPP Convergence Model
Appendix B: Global Consumption Function
Appendix C: Methodology of Product Category Projection
Bibliography
Index
China is already the world's largest market for
steel, televisions, and mobile phone handsets
and currently accounts for
demand and
Yet structural under-valuation of the currency
means that in US$ terms China accounts for
only
around
USA. Continued urbanisation and strong
economic growth, rising income levels and real
exchange rate appreciation will likely combine
to generate high growth rates of US$
consumption spending growth over the medium
term; Whilst this represents a major top line
sales growth opportunity for global consumer
product companies, our survey work shows that
some sectors are likely to deliver structurally
higher returns than others.
"Essential reading for business leaders
and analysts, as well as policy makers,
with an interest in the future of China's
economy: a systematic analysis of likely
trends in the macro-economy and in the
major sectors, with well-informed
commentary on the risks, both downside
and upside." |
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| index_date | 2024-07-02T13:22:24Z |
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| spelling | Garner, Jonathan Verfasser aut The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence Jonathan Garner. With contributions from Vincent Chan ... Chichester Wiley 2005 XVI, 295 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Comportement du consommateur rasuqam Consommateur rasuqam Consommation rasuqam Consumentengedrag gtt Croissance économique rasuqam Prévision économique rasuqam Consumption (Economics) China Consumers China Consumers China Attitudes Verbraucherpolitik (DE-588)4062638-6 gnd rswk-swf Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 gnd rswk-swf Chine rasuqam China (DE-588)4009937-4 gnd rswk-swf China (DE-588)4009937-4 g Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 s DE-604 Verbraucherpolitik (DE-588)4062638-6 s http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/ecip0515/2005020014.html Table of contents Digitalisierung UBPassau application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014180647&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis Digitalisierung UB Passau application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=014180647&sequence=000002&line_number=0002&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Klappentext |
| spellingShingle | Garner, Jonathan The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence Comportement du consommateur rasuqam Consommateur rasuqam Consommation rasuqam Consumentengedrag gtt Croissance économique rasuqam Prévision économique rasuqam Consumption (Economics) China Consumers China Consumers China Attitudes Verbraucherpolitik (DE-588)4062638-6 gnd Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4062638-6 (DE-588)4062644-1 (DE-588)4009937-4 |
| title | The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence |
| title_auth | The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence |
| title_exact_search | The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence |
| title_exact_search_txtP | The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence |
| title_full | The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence Jonathan Garner. With contributions from Vincent Chan ... |
| title_fullStr | The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence Jonathan Garner. With contributions from Vincent Chan ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | The rise of the Chinese consumer theory and evidence Jonathan Garner. With contributions from Vincent Chan ... |
| title_short | The rise of the Chinese consumer |
| title_sort | the rise of the chinese consumer theory and evidence |
| title_sub | theory and evidence |
| topic | Comportement du consommateur rasuqam Consommateur rasuqam Consommation rasuqam Consumentengedrag gtt Croissance économique rasuqam Prévision économique rasuqam Consumption (Economics) China Consumers China Consumers China Attitudes Verbraucherpolitik (DE-588)4062638-6 gnd Verbraucherverhalten (DE-588)4062644-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Comportement du consommateur Consommateur Consommation Consumentengedrag Croissance économique Prévision économique Consumption (Economics) China Consumers China Consumers China Attitudes Verbraucherpolitik Verbraucherverhalten Chine China |
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