Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets: an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Thesis Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Frankfurt am Main [u.a.]
Lang
2005
|
| Series: | Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen
5 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XII, 189 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3631533438 0820476587 |
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MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets |b an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector |c Torsten Wezel |
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Tableof Contents
Chapter I: General Introduction to the Investigation 1
1 Motivation 1
2 Obstacles to Foreign Direct Investment 2
2.1 Restrictions on the Mode of Entry 3
2.2 Operational Requirements 3
2.3 Investment Incentives 5
2.4 Administrative Procedures 6
2.5 Elements of Non Commercial Risk 7
3 Courseofthe Investigation 9
Appendix to Chapter 1 14
Chapter II: Determinants of German Foreign Direct Investment
in Latin American and Asian Emerging Markets in the 1990s 16
1 Introduction to Chapter II 16
2 Data 18
2.1 Defintion of the FDI Variable Used 18
2.1.1 Stocks Versus Flows 20
2.1.2 Adjustment for Participation Rates, Balance Sheet Depreciation
and Repatriated Profits 21
2.1.3 Absolute and Normalized FDI Flows 23
2.1.4 Descriptive Statistics 24
2.2 Exogenous Variables Considered for FDI at the Country Level 27
2.2.1 Traditional Variables 27
2.2.1.1 Market Size and Level oflncome 27
2.2.1.2 Wage Competitiveness 28
2.2.1.3 Trade Barriers/Openness ofthe Economy 29
2.2.1.4 External Indebtedness 32
2.2.2 Non Traditional Variables 34
2.2.2.1 Country Risk/Political Risk 34
2.2.2.2 Agglomeration Effects 42
2.2.2.3 Corporate Financing Conditions 43
2.2.2.4 Real Exchange Rate (Volatility) 44
2.2.2.5 Structural Reforms 46
3 Mcthodology 47
3.1 Estimation Method 47
3.2 Selection of Exogenous Variables 50
4 Econometric Results 52
4.1 Country Level 52
4.2 Sector Level 58
4.2.1 Manufacturing Sector 59
4.2.2 Sub Sectors in Manufacturing 61
5 ConclusionsofChapterll 64
Appendix to Chapter II 67
Chapter III: Foreign Bank Entry into Emerging Economies:
An Empirical Assessment of the Determinants and Risks
Predicated on German FDI Data 70
1 Introduction to Chapter III 70
2 Approaches to Modeling Foreign Banking Activity 71
3 Review of the Literature and Hypothesized Variables 75
3.1 Endogenous Variable Measuring Foreign Banking Activity 75
3.2 Exogenous Variables Considered for Banking FDI 76
3.2.1 Follow The Client Motive 76
3.2.1.1 FDI of the Non Financial Sector 77
3.2.1.2 Trade Linkages 79
3.2.2 Market Characteristics 79
3.2.2.1 Host Country Income 79
3.2.2.2 International Financial Centers 80
3.2.2.3 Banking Margin/Competition 81
3.2.2.4 Openness ofthe Foreign Banking Market. 82
3.2.3 RiskFactors 84
3.2.3.1 Country Risk/Political Risk 84
3.2.3.2 Likelihood of Banking Crises 85
3.2.3.3 Exchange Rate Volatility 89
3.3 The Model 90
4 Empirical Analysis 91
4.1 Sample Properties 91
4.2 Estimation Technique 92
4.3 Discussion of Estimation Results 93
4.3.1 Füll Sample Analysis 94
4.3.2 Spatial Disaggregation 98
4.3.3 Temporal Disaggregation 100
5 Conclusions of Chapter III 101
Appendix to Chapter III 104
Chapter IV: Does Co Financing by Multilateral Development Banks
Increase Risky Direct Investment in Emerging Markets?
Evidence for German Banking FDI 107
1 Introduction to Chapter IV 107
2 The Model 109
2.1 Basic Model 109
2.2 Discussion of Model Extensions 118
2.2.1 Foibearance ofthe Multilateral Agency 118
2.2.2 Threatof Judicial Enforcement 119
3 Endogenous Variable Measuring Risk Adjusted Capital 122
4 Estimation Techniques, Exogenous Variables and Sample Selection 126
4.1 The Problem of Self Selection in Program Evaluation 126
4.1.1 Homogeneous Treatment Effects 127
4.1.2 Heterogeneous Treatment Effects 127
4.2 Overviewof Evaluation Techniques 129
4.2.1 Evaluation Techniques Correcting for Unobservable Factors 129
4.2.1.1 Instrumental Variables Technique 129
4.2.1.2 Heckman Selection Model 130
4.2.1.3 Generalized Evaluation Estimator (GEE) 132
4.2.1.4 Comparison of Simulations (SIM) 134
4.2.2 Selection on Observables: Propensity Score Matching 134
4.3 Exogenous Variables 138
4.4 Sample Selection 140
5 Empirical Results 141
5.1 Absolute Capital at Risk 142
5.2 Size Adjusted Capital at Risk 145
6 ConclusionsofChapterlV 146
Appendix to Chapter IV 148
Chapter V: Concluding Remarks 153
1 Summary of Results 153
2 Dismantling Barriere to FDI Policy Responses and Further Suggestions.... 155
2.1 Investment Barriers 155
2.1.1 Investment Incentives as Unilateral Measures 156
2.1.2 Bilateral Investment Treaties 157
2.1.3 Multilateral and Regional Investment Agreements 158
2.2 The Global Drive Against Corruption 163
2.3 Promoting Financial System Stability 166
2.4 Expropriation Risk and Dispute Settlement 170
3 Policy Implications and Outlook 171
References 176 j
Table 1: Summary of Selected Host Country Operational Measures 14
Table 2: Summary of Host Country Administrative Procedures 15
Table 3: Estimations for Latin America at the Country Level 53
Table 4: Extreme Bounds Analysis at the Country Level 55
Table 5: Estimations for Asia at the Country Level 56
Table 6: Testing for Joint EstimationofCoefficients 58
Table 7: Extreme Bounds Analysis for the Manufacturing Sector 59
Table 8: Estimations for the Manufacturing Sectors of Latin America and Asia...6O
Table 9: Capital Intensity of German Manufacturing Sectors (Sample Countries).. 62
Table 10: Estimations for Latin America at the Sub Sector Level 63
Table 11: Estimations for Asia at the Sub Sector Level 64
Table 12: Estimations for Absolute FDI Flows at the Country Level 67
Table 13: List of Exogenous Variables Employed 68
Table 14: Baseline Estimations for Determinants of Banking FDI (Füll Sample) ...94
Table 15: Estimations for the Variables Depicting Market Characteristics 96
Table 16: Estimations for the Variables Depicting Risk Factors 97
Table 17: Estimations for Determinants by Region 98
Table 18: Estimations for Determinants by Time Period (all Countries) 100
Table 19: Foreign Bank Ownership in Selected Emerging Markets in 2001.... 104
Table 20: Descriptions and Sources of Exogenous Variables 105
Table 21: Alternative Estimations Using an FGLS Procedure 106
Table 22: Credit Ratings and Default Rates 124
Table 23: Statistical Properties of Exogenous as well as Endogenous Variables.. 140
Table 24: Propensity Score Matching and Treatment Effects (Absolute CAR)... 143
Table 25: Bootstrap Statistics for Absolute Capital at Risk 145
Table 26: Treatment Effects (Size Adjusted Capital at Risk) 145
Table 27: Bootstrap Statistics for Size Adjusted Capital at Risk 146
Table 28: List of Host Countries in the Sample of Individual FDI Projects 148
! Table 29: Statistical Properties of Variables Treatment Group 149
! Table 30: Statistical Properties of Variables Control Group 149
[ Table 31: Heckman Selection Model (Absolute Capital at Risk) 149
Index ofFigures
Figure 1: German FDI Stocks and Flows 25
Figure 2: Distribution of German FDI Stock Across Latin America 26
Figure 3: Distribution of German FDI Stock Across Asia 27
Figure 4: Country Risk in Emerging Latin America and Asia 40
Figure 5: Political Risk and its Components 41
Figure 6: Top Ten Emerging Market Destinations of German Banking FDI 92
Figure 7: Case 1 Autarky Equilibrium 112
Figure 8: Case 2 Constrained Optimal Equilibrium 113
Figure 9: Case 3 Unconstrained Optimal Equilibrium 114
Index of Boxes
Box 1: Causes of Corruption and Relevance for FDI 36
Box 2: Early Wartung Systems for CrisisDetection Development and Features....86
Box 3: What Exactly is Expropriation? 116
Box 4: Dispute Settlement Procedures 120
Box 5: Political Risk Insurance 123
Box 6: IFC Selection Procedure for Co Financing of Banking Projects
in Emerging Markets. Condensed Protocol of the Interviews
Conducted at IFC in April, 2003 150
Box 7: Plurilateral/Multilateral Agreements on FDI Liberalization 160
Box 8: Standards and Codes, and Other Multilateral Initiatives 165
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| spelling | Wezel, Torsten 1967- Verfasser (DE-588)124895689 aut Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector Torsten Wezel Frankfurt am Main [u.a.] Lang 2005 XII, 189 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen 5 Zugl.: Vallendar, Wissenschaftl. Hochsch. für Unternehmensführung, Diss., 2004 Investments, German Direktinvestition (DE-588)4070496-8 gnd rswk-swf Emerging Market (DE-588)4398432-0 gnd rswk-swf Bank (DE-588)4004436-1 gnd rswk-swf Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content Deutschland (DE-588)4011882-4 g Bank (DE-588)4004436-1 s Direktinvestition (DE-588)4070496-8 s Emerging Market (DE-588)4398432-0 s DE-604 Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen 5 (DE-604)BV014252401 5 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013070278&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Wezel, Torsten 1967- Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector Studien zu internationalen Wirtschaftsbeziehungen Investments, German Direktinvestition (DE-588)4070496-8 gnd Emerging Market (DE-588)4398432-0 gnd Bank (DE-588)4004436-1 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4070496-8 (DE-588)4398432-0 (DE-588)4004436-1 (DE-588)4011882-4 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector |
| title_auth | Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector |
| title_exact_search | Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector |
| title_full | Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector Torsten Wezel |
| title_fullStr | Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector Torsten Wezel |
| title_full_unstemmed | Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector Torsten Wezel |
| title_short | Determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets |
| title_sort | determinants of foreign direct investment in emerging markets an empirical study of fdi flows from germany and its banking sector |
| title_sub | an empirical study of FDI flows from Germany and its banking sector |
| topic | Investments, German Direktinvestition (DE-588)4070496-8 gnd Emerging Market (DE-588)4398432-0 gnd Bank (DE-588)4004436-1 gnd |
| topic_facet | Investments, German Direktinvestition Emerging Market Bank Deutschland Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=013070278&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV014252401 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT wezeltorsten determinantsofforeigndirectinvestmentinemergingmarketsanempiricalstudyoffdiflowsfromgermanyanditsbankingsector |