Breaking the conflict trap: civil war and development policy
Gespeichert in:
| Format: | Buch |
|---|---|
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Washington, DC
World Bank [u.a.]
2003
|
| Schriftenreihe: | A World Bank policy research report
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | Includes bibliographical references (p. 200-221) |
| Beschreibung: | XV, 221 S. graph. Darst |
| ISBN: | 0821354817 |
Internformat
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Breaking the conflict trap |b civil war and development policy |c Paul Collier ... |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804129961867476992 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Foreword ix
The Report Team xiii
Acronyms and Abbreviations xv
Overview 1
Let Them Fight It Out among Themselves? 1
What Can We Do about Ancestral Hatreds? 3
The Conflict Trap 4
The Rising Global Incidence of Conflict 5
Nothing Can Be Done 6
PARTI. CRY HAVOC:
WHY CIVIL WAR MATTERS 11
1. Civil War as Development in Reverse 13
Costs during Conflict 13
Legacy Effects of Civil War 19
Conclusion 31
2. Let Them Fight It Out among Themselves? 33
Neighborhood Effects of Civil War 33
Global Effects of Civil War 41
Conclusion 48
PART II. WHAT FUELS CIVIL WAR? 51
3. What Makes a Country Prone to Civil War? 53
Understanding Rebellion 55
The Conflict Trap 79
Conclusion 88
4. Why Is Civil War So Common? 93
Changes in the Global Pattern of Civil War 93
Changes in the Incidence of Civil War 98
Unpacking the Global Incidence of Civil War 100
Conclusion: Poverty and the Conflict Trap 117
PART III. POLICIES FOR PEACE 119
5. What Works Where? 121
Conflict Prevention in the Successful Developers 122
Marginalized Countries at Peace 125
Ending Conflicts 140
Reducing Postconflict Risks 150
Conclusion 171
6. An Agenda for International Action 173
Precedents for International Action 174
International Policies for Peace 175
Conclusion: A New Goal for 2015? 186
Appendix 1. Methods and Data 189
Data Set and Model 189
Data Sources 193
Appendix 2. A Selected Bibliography of
Studies of Civil War and Rebellion 197
Economic Factors 197
Role of Ethnicity and Nationalism 198
Anatomy of Rebellion 199
Role of the State 199
Negotiation and Implementation of Peace 200
Bibliography 200
References 211
Boxes
1.1 Violent conflict and the transformation of social capital 16
1.2 Refugees and IDPs in Liberia and Sudan 20
1.3 Angola 28
1.4 Psychological trauma 29
1.5 Landmines: A bitter legacy for Cambodians 31
2.1 Regional arms races 34
2.2 Eritrea 40
3.1 Modeling the risk of civil war 58
3.2 Oil and demands for secession in Nigeria 61
3.3 Inefficient counterinsurgency measures in Indonesia 73
3.4 Financing the Chechen rebellion 78
3.5 Modeling the duration of civil war 80
4.1 Recurrent conflicts example 1: Afghanistan 104
4.2 Recurrent conflicts example 2: Angola 105
5.1 A comparison of Botswana and Sierra Leone 127
5.2 Transparency of oil revenues in Chad 131
5.3 The rough diamond trade and the Kimberley process 143
5.4 The Khmer Rouge and the logs of war 145
Figures
1.1 GDP per capita before and after civil war 14
1.2 Total number of refugees, 1962 2002 18
1.3 Increase in mortality rates due to civil war 24
2.1 The flow and stock of refugees, 1951 2002 36
2.2 The stock of refugees and civil wars, 1951 2001 37
2.3 Refugees and cases of malaria, 1962—97 38
2.4 Opium production, 1986 2001 43
2.5 Cocaine production, 1986 2001 43
2.6 Opium production in Afghanistan and heroin seizures in Europe,
1980 2001 45
2.7 Estimates of annual opiate and cocaine use in the late 1990s 45
3.1 Ethnic fractionalization and the risk of civil war 59
3.2 Risk of civil war for the typical low income country with and
without ethnic dominance during a five year period 59
3.3 Risk of civil wars from natural resources endowment 61
3.4 The risk of civil war in democracies and nondemocracies
at different levels of income 65
3.5 Improved economic performance and the risk of civil war 67
3.6 Military expenditures and the risk of civil war 72
3.7 Natural resources and the risk of civil war for low income
countries 76
3.8 How chances of peace evolve worldwide 81
3.9 Duration of civil wars over time 82
3.10 The risk of civil war for a typical civil war country, just before
and just after war 83
3.11 Diasporas and postconflict risk 85
3.12 Military spending and the risk of renewed conflict in postconflict
countries 86
4.1 The global incidence of civil warfare, 1950 2001 94
4.2 Simulating the effects of the waves of decolonization,
1950 2020 95
4.3 Proportion of civil wars that end each year 96
4.4 The global self sustaining incidence of civil war, by decades 97
4.5 Factors changing the global risk of conflict 99
4.6 The changing rates of conflict termination 100
4.7 Divergent risks: marginalized countries relative to
successful developers 102
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| spelling | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy Paul Collier ... Washington, DC World Bank [u.a.] 2003 XV, 221 S. graph. Darst txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier A World Bank policy research report Includes bibliographical references (p. 200-221) Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd rswk-swf Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 gnd rswk-swf Kriegsgefahr (DE-588)4137620-1 gnd rswk-swf Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 gnd rswk-swf Entwicklungsländer (DE-588)4014954-7 gnd rswk-swf Entwicklungsländer (DE-588)4014954-7 g Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 s Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 s Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 s DE-604 Kriegsgefahr (DE-588)4137620-1 s DE-188 Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 s Collier, Paul 1949- Sonstige (DE-588)134016831 oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=010300460&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 gnd Kriegsgefahr (DE-588)4137620-1 gnd Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 gnd |
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| title | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy |
| title_auth | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy |
| title_exact_search | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy |
| title_full | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy Paul Collier ... |
| title_fullStr | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy Paul Collier ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | Breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy Paul Collier ... |
| title_short | Breaking the conflict trap |
| title_sort | breaking the conflict trap civil war and development policy |
| title_sub | civil war and development policy |
| topic | Konfliktregelung (DE-588)4164958-8 gnd Wirtschaftsentwicklung (DE-588)4066438-7 gnd Bürgerkrieg (DE-588)4008784-0 gnd Kriegsgefahr (DE-588)4137620-1 gnd Entwicklungspolitik (DE-588)4014957-2 gnd |
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