Climate policy in a globalizing world: a CGE model with capital mobility and trade
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| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Berlin [u.a.]
Springer
2002
|
| Series: | Kieler Studien
320 |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Table of contents Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Includes bibliographical references |
| Physical Description: | XXX, 293 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 3540443754 |
Staff View
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Climate policy in a globalizing world |b a CGE model with capital mobility and trade |c Katrin Springer |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin [u.a.] |b Springer |c 2002 | |
| 300 | |a XXX, 293 S. |b graph. Darst. | ||
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| 650 | 4 | |a Politik | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Environmental economics | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Climatic changes -- Government policy -- Economic aspects | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Globalization | |
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| 650 | 4 | |a Capital movements | |
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| adam_text | Contents
A. Aim and Scope of the Study 1
B. International Climate Policy in a Globalizing World 6
I. The Economics of Climate Change 8
1. Climate Change as an Issue 10
2. International Climate Policy 18
3. The International Economics of Climate Change 23
II. International Climate Policy 30
1. The Role of International Trade in Goods 32
2. The Role of International Capital Mobility 37
C. International Trade in Goods and International Capital Mobility 49
I. Interdependencies of International Goods Markets and
International Capital Markets in an Integrated World 50
1. The Analytical Framework 52
2. The Relationship between International Trade in Goods
and International Capital Mobility in a General
Equilibrium Setting 65
II. The Case of Endogenous Goods and Capital Flows 68
1. Relative Factor Endowments 69
2. Different Preferences 72
3. Different Technologies 73
4. Production and Consumption Distortions 84
5. International Capital Movements with Sector Specific
Capital 88
III. Implementation of Capital Mobility into a CGE Framework:
Some Conclusions 90
IV. Appendix: Stability of the World Equilibrium with Free Goods
Trade and International Capital Mobility 92
VIII Contents
D. International Climate Policy and International Trade in Goods:
A Recursive Dynamic General Equilibrium Model 98
I. Theoretical Model 98
1. The Desired Model Structure 99
2. The Basic Model 99
3. Single Period Equilibrium 105
4. Dynamics 129
II. Benchmarking of the Dynamic Model 133
1. The Solution Concept 134
2. Calibration of the Single Period Equilibrium 135
3. Benchmarking of Regional Growth Paths 138
4. Results of the Benchmark Run from 1993 to 2030 145
III. International Climate Policy Evaluation 148
1. CO2 Emissions 149
2. International Climate Policy and Trade in Goods 151
IV. Sensitivity Analysis 158
1. Supply Elasticities for Fossil Energy 158
2. Armington Elasticities 159
3. Alternative Growth Paths of Nations 162
V. Concluding Remarks 165
VI. Appendix: Model Dimensions, Data, and Production Structure 169
E. The Implications of International Capital Mobility and Trade
Interactions 194
I. International Trade and Capital Mobility: Theoretical
Implications 196
II. Integrating International Capital Mobility into the CGE
Framework 198
1. Perfect Capital Mobility 199
2. Imperfect Capital Mobility 200
III. Parameterization and Calibration of International Capital
Mobility 212
IV. Benchmark Runs for Different Forms of Capital Market
Integration 216
1. The Impact of Capital Mobility on Regional Growth Paths 217
2. The Impact of Capital Mobility on Competition Patterns 231
Contents IX
3. The Relationship between International Capital Flows and
Commodity Trade in the Benchmark 234
V. International Climate Policy Analysis with Different Degrees of
Capital Market Integration 242
1. Welfare Effects and International Capital Flows 243
2. Sectoral Reallocation 248
3. CO2 Emission Leakage 254
4. Shadow Prices of Emission Constraints 255
5. The Interaction of Trade and International Capital Flows 257
VI. Sensitivity Analysis 265
VII. Summary of Simulation Results and Policy Conclusion 269
F. Summary 274
References 281
List of Tables
Table 1: Pre Industrial and Present Concentration of Major Greenhouse
Gases 11
Table 2: Milestones in International Climate Policy 20
Table 3: Top Down Climate Policy Cost Studies 26
Table 4: Regional Structure of Merchandise Exports and Imports, 1998 32
Table 5: Merchandise Trade as Share of GDP, 1998 33
Table 6: Direction of Merchandise Trade, 1998 34
Table 7: Share of Intraregional Trade Flows in Total Trade Flows, 1990
and 1999 35
Table 8: Inter and Intraindustry Trade Flows from Germany towards Its
Most Important Trading Partners, 1988 and 1996 36
Table 9: Structure of Capital Inflows in Industrialized and Developing
Countries, 1988 1998 39
Table 10: Development of Capital Flows in Industrialized Countries,
1988 and 1998 39
Table 11: Development of Net Long Term Capital Flows in the
Developing Countries 40
Table 12: Composition of Private Capital Flows to the Developing
Countries 40
Table 13: Inward FDI Stocks, 1980 1999 41
Table 14: Accumulated FDI Flows 42
Table 15: The Importance of FDI Flows in Capital Formation 43
Table 16: Regions and Commodities in the 11 x 10 GTAP Aggregation 137
Table 17: Key Elasticities 138
Table 18: Human Capital Intensities 141
Table 19: Key Parameters for Calibration Related to Capital 144
List of Tables XI
Table 20: Dynamic Key Parameters in 1993 145
Table 21: Revealed Comparative Advantage in 2010 153
Table 22: Benchmark Emissions of CO2—All Countries 159
Table 23: Scenario Specification for the Sensitivity Analysis of
Armington Elasticities 160
Table 24: Presumed Consequences of Different Causes of Trade on the
Relationship between International Trade in Goods and Capital Mobility 197
Table 25: The Relationship of International Trade and International
Capital Mobility with Technological Differences between Countries 197
Table 26: Parameterization of Imperfect Substitution of Capital 213
Table 27: Shares of Capital Inflows and Outflows Relative to Total
Capital Use 213
Table 28: Bilateral Capital Inflows, 1993 215
Table 29: Bilateral Capital Outflows, 1993 216
Table 30: Bilateral Capital Flows, 1993 216
Table 31: Development of Macroeconomic Variables for the Five Capital
Mobility Scenarios 218
Table 32: Net Capital Flows per Region, 2010 219
Table 33: Summary Statistics of the Effect of Perfect International Capital
Mobility on Trade Flows, 2010 236
Table 34: Sectoral Effects of Perfect International Capital Mobility on
Net Trade Flows, 2010 237
Table 35: Summary Statistics of the Effect of Portfolio Capital Mobility
on Trade Flows, 2010 239
Table 36: Summary Statistics of the Effect of Bilateral Portfolio Capital
Mobility on Trade, 2010 240
Table 37: Summary Statistics of the Effect of Physical Capital Mobility
on Trade Flows, 2010 241
Table 38: The Relationship between Trade and Capital Mobility
in the Benchmark and in the Climate Policy Scenario with Sectoral
Summary Statistics—Perfect Capital Mobility 260
XII List of Tables
Table 39: The Relationship between Trade and Capital Mobility in the
Benchmark and in the Climate Policy Scenario with Sectoral Summary
Statistics—Portfolio Capital Mobility 262
Table 40: The Relationship between Trade and Capital Mobility in the
Benchmark and in the Climate Policy Scenario with Sectoral Summary
Statistics—Bilateral Portfolio Capital Mobility 263
Table 41: The Relationship between Trade and Capital Mobility in the
Benchmark and in the Climate Policy Scenario with Sectoral Summary
Statistics—Mobility of Physical Capital 264
Table Al: Regions and Sectors in the GTAP Database, Version 3 (1992) 169
Table A2: Production Structure by Region, 1993 170
Table A3: Production Structure, 1993 170
Table A4: Sectoral Exports by Region, 1993 170
Table A5: Export Structure, 1993 171
Table A6: Factor Income Structure, 1993 (billion 1990 $) 171
Table A7: Factor Income Structure, 1993 (percent) 171
Table A8: Production Structure (Real), 2030 172
Table A9: Production Structure (Values), 2030 172
Table AW: Export Structure (Quantities), 2030 173
Table All: Export Share in World Exports by Region and Commodity,
2030 173
Table All: Export Structure (Values), 2030 174
Table A13: Import Structure (Quantities), 2030 174
Table A14: Import Share in World Imports by Region and Commodity,
2030 175
Table A15: Import Structure (Values), 2030 175
Table A16: Income Shares: Factor Income Structure, 2030 176
Table A17: Revealed Comparative Advantage in the Benchmark 176
List of Figures
Figure 1: Sectoral Composition of World Carbon Dioxide Emissions, 1997 13
Figure 2: World Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Fossil Fuel, 1997 13
Figure 3: Regional Breakdown of World Carbon Dioxide Emissions,
1997 14
Figure 4: Per Capita CO2 Emissions, 1996 15
Figure 5: CO2 Emissions per Unit of GDP, 1996 16
Figure 6: World Industrial Production, Exports, and FDI 31
Figure 7: Equilibrium of the World Goods Market and the World Capital
Market 60
Figure 8: Factor Price Equalization Theorem 71
Figure 9: Stable Equilibria of International Goods Trade and Capital
Market 75
Figure 10: Effects of Technology Differences on Trade and Capital Flows
with a Capital intensive Export Good 78
Figure 11: Effects of Technology Differences on Trade and Capital Flows
with a Labor intensive Export Good 80
Figure 12: Production Structure of Industry Sector./ in Region r 101
Figure 13: Production Structure of the Investment Good Sector CGD 102
Figure 14: Household and Government Production Structure 103
Figure 15: Structure of Foreign Trade 104
Figure 16: Capital Stocks According to Penn World Tables and GTAP
Dataset 143
Figure 17: Welfare Effects of the Kyoto Protocol Relative to the
Benchmark in 2010 151
XIV List of Figures
Figure 18: CO2 Emissions in the Benchmark and under the Kyoto
Protocol 153
Figure 19: Change in Sectoral Output in 2010 154
Figure 20: Total Carbon Emissions in the Benchmark and under the
Kyoto Protocol 155
Figure 21: Leakage Rate 156
Figure 22: Shadow Prices for CO2 Emission Constraints 157
Figure 23: The Household s Portfolio Decision 203
Figure 24: Capital Demand in Each Region 205
Figure 25: The Household s Portfolio Decision with Bilateral Capital
Flows 207
Figure 26: Benchmark Capital Inflows and Outflows, 1993 214
Figure 27: GDP Trajectories for the Different Capital Mobility Scenarios 221
Figure 28: Regional Per Capita Income with Perfect Capital Mobility 222
Figure 29: Regional Per Capita Income with Portfolio Optimization of
Bilateral Capital Flows 223
Figure 30: Regional Per Capita Income with Imperfect Mobility of
Physical Capital 223
Figure 31: Regional Growth Rate of Per Capita Income with Perfect
Capital Mobility 224
Figure 32: Regional Growth Rate of Per Capita Income with Portfolio
Optimization of Bilateral Capital Flows 225
Figure 33: Regional Growth Rate of Per Capita Income with Imperfect
Physical Capital Mobility 225
Figure 34: Regional Development of the Relative Factor Price with
Perfect Capital Mobility 226
Figure 35: Regional Development of the Relative Factor Price with
Portfolio Optimization of Bilateral Capital Hows 227
Figure 36: Regional Development of the Relative Factor Price with
Imperfect Physical Capital Mobility 228
List of Figures XV
Figure 37: Regional Capital Inflows and Outflows with Perfect Capital
Mobility 228
Figure 38: Development of Per Capita Carbon Emissions 229
Figure 39: Development of CO2 Intensities in Production 230
Figure 40: Revealed Comparative Advantage for the Industrialized
Countries in the Benchmark for All Capital Mobility Scenarios 232
Figure 41: Revealed Comparative Advantage for the Developing
Countries in the Benchmark for All Capital Mobility Scenarios 233
Figure 42: Welfare Effects of the Kyoto Protocol Relative to the
Benchmark with Different Degrees of Capital Mobility, 2010 244
Figure 43: Capital Flows with Perfect Capital Mobility in the Benchmark
and under the Kyoto Protocol, 2010 245
Figure 44: Capital Flows with Imperfect Portfolio Capital Mobility in the
Benchmark and under the Kyoto Protocol, 2010 246
Figure 45: Capital Flows with Imperfect Bilateral Portfolio Capital
Mobility in the Benchmark and under the Kyoto Protocol, 2010 247
Figure 46: Capital Flows with Imperfect Mobility of Physical Capital in
the Benchmark and under the Kyoto Protocol, 2010 248
Figure 47a: Change in Sectoral Output in 2010—Immobile Capital 249
Figure 47b: Change in Sectoral Output in 2010—Perfect Capital Mobility 250
Figure 47c: Change in Sectoral Output in 2010—Portfolio Capital
Mobility 251
Figure 47d: Change in Sectoral Output in 2010—Bilateral Portfolio
Capital Mobility 252
Figure 47e: Change in Sectoral Output in 2010—Imperfect Mobility of
Physical Capital 253
Figure 48: Comparison of Total Leakage Rate over All Capital Mobility
Scenarios 255
Figure 49: Shadow Prices of CO2 Emission Constraints 256
Figure 50: Change in Net Capital Flows for Different Assumptions about
Capital Mobility Elasticities, 2010 267
XVI List of Figures
Figure 51: Welfare Effects of the Kyoto Protocol with Different Forms of
Capital Mobility, 2010—Sensitivity Analysis 267
Figure 52: Leakage Rates for Different Elasticity Assumptions 268
Figure Al: Per Capita Income by Region in the Benchmark 177
Figure A2: CO2 Emissions in the Benchmark 177
Figure A3: Index of CO2 Emissions in the Benchmark 178
Figure A4: Per Capita CO2 Emissions in the Benchmark 178
Figure AS: CO2 Intensities of Major Regions in the Benchmark 179
Figure A6: Growth Rate of Per Capita Income in the Benchmark 179
Figure A 7: Development of Relative Factor Prices in the Benchmark 180
Figure A8: Revealed Comparative Advantage in the Benchmark:
Industrialized Countries, 1993 and 2010 180
Figure A9: Revealed Comparative Advantage in the Benchmark:
Developing Countries, 1993 and 2010 181
Figure AW: Variation of the Fossil Fuel Supply Elasticity: Direct Effects,
2010 181
Figure All: Variation of the Gas Supply Elasticity: Cross Effects, 2010 182
Figure All: Variation of the Crude Oil Supply Elasticity: Cross Effects,
2010 182
Figure A13: Variation of the Coal Supply Elasticity: Cross Effects, 2010 183
Figure A14: Variation of Export Shares in Industrialized Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 183
Figure A15: Variation of Import Shares in Industrialized Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 184
Figure A16: Variation of Export Shares in Developing Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 184
Figure A17: Variation of Import Shares in Developing Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 185
List of Figures XVII
Figure A18: Variation of Export Levels in Industrialized Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 185
Figure A19: Variation of Export Levels in Developing Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 186
Figure A20: Variation of Import Levels in Industrialized Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 186
Figure All: Variation of Import Levels in Developing Countries
Depending on the Armington Elasticity, 2010 187
Figure A22: Comparison of Welfare Effects of the Kyoto Protocol over
All Armington Scenarios, 2010 187
Figure A23: Percentage Change in Relative Factor Prices (Rental Wage
Ratio): Pessimistic Growth Scenario versus Benchmark Scenario 188
Figure A24: Percentage Change in Relative Factor Prices (Rental Wage
Ratio): Savings versus Benchmark Scenario 188
Figure A25: Growth Rate of Per Capita Income—Sensitivity Analysis:
Pessimistic Growth Scenario 189
Figure A26: Growth Rate of Per Capita Income—Sensitivity Analysis:
Savings Rate Scenario 189
Figure A27: Regional Per Capita Income—Sensitivity Analysis: Savings
Rate Scenario 190
Figure A28: Regional Per Capita Income—Sensitivity Analysis:
Pessimistic Growth Scenario 190
Figure A29: Development of Per Capita Emissions: Sensitivity Analysis 191
Figure A30: Development of Per Capita Income: Sensitivity Analysis 191
Figure A31: Development of CO2 Intensity: Sensitivity Analysis 192
Figure A32: Comparison of Welfare Effects of the Kyoto Protocol for All
Growth Scenarios, 2010 192
Figure A33: Comparison of the Leakage Rate for All Growth Scenarios 193
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Springer, Katrin |
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| author_role | aut |
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| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV014892818 |
| callnumber-first | H - Social Science |
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| callnumber-raw | HC79.E5S6675 2002 |
| callnumber-search | HC79.E5S6675 2002 |
| callnumber-sort | HC 279 E5 S6675 42002 |
| callnumber-subject | HC - Economic History and Conditions |
| classification_rvk | QT 200 QT 800 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)614603747 (DE-599)BVBBV014892818 |
| dewey-full | 363.738/7421 |
| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 363 - Other social problems and services |
| dewey-raw | 363.738/74 21 |
| dewey-search | 363.738/74 21 |
| dewey-sort | 3363.738 274 221 |
| dewey-tens | 360 - Social problems and services; associations |
| discipline | Soziologie Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV014892818 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T19:08:30Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3540443754 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-010069853 |
| oclc_num | 614603747 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-M158 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-N2 DE-703 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-521 DE-83 DE-188 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-M158 DE-473 DE-BY-UBG DE-N2 DE-703 DE-19 DE-BY-UBM DE-521 DE-83 DE-188 |
| physical | XXX, 293 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 2002 |
| publishDateSearch | 2002 |
| publishDateSort | 2002 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Kieler Studien |
| series2 | Kieler Studien |
| spelling | Springer, Katrin Verfasser aut Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade Katrin Springer Berlin [u.a.] Springer 2002 XXX, 293 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Kieler Studien 320 Includes bibliographical references Globalisierung Klimaänderung Politik Environmental economics Climatic changes -- Government policy -- Economic aspects Globalization International trade Capital movements Umweltzertifikathandel (DE-588)4572791-0 gnd rswk-swf Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 gnd rswk-swf Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd rswk-swf Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd rswk-swf Internationaler Umweltschutz (DE-588)4162079-3 gnd rswk-swf Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 gnd rswk-swf Internationale Kapitalbewegung (DE-588)4162044-6 gnd rswk-swf Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 s Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 s Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 s DE-604 Internationaler Umweltschutz (DE-588)4162079-3 s Umweltzertifikathandel (DE-588)4572791-0 s Internationale Kapitalbewegung (DE-588)4162044-6 s Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 s Kieler Studien 320 (DE-604)BV000001650 320 http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/fy036/2002042591.html Table of contents HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=010069853&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Springer, Katrin Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade Kieler Studien Globalisierung Klimaänderung Politik Environmental economics Climatic changes -- Government policy -- Economic aspects Globalization International trade Capital movements Umweltzertifikathandel (DE-588)4572791-0 gnd Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd Internationaler Umweltschutz (DE-588)4162079-3 gnd Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 gnd Internationale Kapitalbewegung (DE-588)4162044-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4572791-0 (DE-588)4557997-0 (DE-588)4031170-3 (DE-588)4210294-7 (DE-588)4162079-3 (DE-588)4078523-3 (DE-588)4162044-6 |
| title | Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade |
| title_auth | Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade |
| title_exact_search | Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade |
| title_full | Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade Katrin Springer |
| title_fullStr | Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade Katrin Springer |
| title_full_unstemmed | Climate policy in a globalizing world a CGE model with capital mobility and trade Katrin Springer |
| title_short | Climate policy in a globalizing world |
| title_sort | climate policy in a globalizing world a cge model with capital mobility and trade |
| title_sub | a CGE model with capital mobility and trade |
| topic | Globalisierung Klimaänderung Politik Environmental economics Climatic changes -- Government policy -- Economic aspects Globalization International trade Capital movements Umweltzertifikathandel (DE-588)4572791-0 gnd Globalisierung (DE-588)4557997-0 gnd Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell (DE-588)4210294-7 gnd Internationaler Umweltschutz (DE-588)4162079-3 gnd Umweltpolitik (DE-588)4078523-3 gnd Internationale Kapitalbewegung (DE-588)4162044-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Globalisierung Klimaänderung Politik Environmental economics Climatic changes -- Government policy -- Economic aspects Globalization International trade Capital movements Umweltzertifikathandel Klima Allgemeines Gleichgewichtsmodell Internationaler Umweltschutz Umweltpolitik Internationale Kapitalbewegung |
| url | http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/fy036/2002042591.html http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=010069853&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| volume_link | (DE-604)BV000001650 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT springerkatrin climatepolicyinaglobalizingworldacgemodelwithcapitalmobilityandtrade |