The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon:
Saved in:
| Format: | Book |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Cambridge [u.a.]
Cambridge Univ. Press
2002
|
| Edition: | 1. publ. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Table of contents Publisher description Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XXI, 259 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 052181197X |
Staff View
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| adam_text | Titel: The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon
Autor: Andersen, Lykke E.
Jahr: 2002
Contents
List of figures page vii
List of tables ix
Preface xiii
List of acronyms and abbreviations xviii
1 Introduction 1
Deforestation and development 4
Structure of the book 9
2 Development of the Brazilian Amazon 11
The geographic focus: the Brazilian Legal Amazonia 11
Historical perspectives 13
Operation Amazonia and SUDAM 15
The rise of environmental concern 18
Improvements in monitoring capacity and enforcement 20
The distributional impact of Amazon development 21
Avart(a Brasil 33
Conclusions 34
3 The municipal database 36
Deforestation: concepts and measures 37
Socio-economic dimensions 48
Geo-ecological dimensions 61
4 The sources and agents of deforestation 66
Cattle ranching 70
Small- and large-scale agriculture 77
Logging 80
Mining 83
Hydroelectric dams 85
Property rights 86
Secondary forest growth 88
5 Alternatives to deforestation: extractivism 91
The data 93
Mapping extractive value densities 97
Explaining spatial differences in extraction values 101
Conclusions and discussion 107
vi Contents
6 Modeling deforestation and development in the
Brazilian Amazon 111
Previous studies 111
Model specification 113
Estimation results 122
Policy simulations 138
Conclusions 149
7 Carbon emissions 152
The carbon inventory model 153
Clearing, carbon emissions, and economic growth, 1970-1985 160
Discussion of the results 163
Conclusions 166
8 The costs and benefits of deforestation 167
The global costs and benefits of Amazon deforestation 167
The value of intact Amazonian forests 173
The value of cleared land in the Amazon 189
Towards a better use of the Amazon rainforest 196
Conclusions 198
9 Conclusions and recommendations 200
Conclusions 200
Policy implications 203
Technical appendix 209
Al Econometric philosophy 209
A2 Panel model evaluation 211
A3 Random reduction estimation strategy 212
A4 Technical issues with simulations 214
A5 Full model results 216
References 241
Index 257
Figures
2.1 Legal Amazonia, Brazil page 12
2.2 Average annual per capita GDP growth in the
municipalities of Legal Amazonia, 1970-1985 22
2.3 Average annual per capita GDP growth rates in
the municipalities of Legal Amazonia, 1985-1995 23
2.4 Average annual growth rate of rural per capita GDP in
the municipalities of Legal Amazonia, 1985-1995 24
2.5 Per capita GDP in the municipalities of Legal Amazonia,
1995 24
2.6 Relationship between average pre-move income level of
migrants and poverty rates in the municipalities of Legal
Amazonia, 1991 27
2.7 Poverty rates in the municipalities of Legal Amazonia,
1970, 1980, and 1991 28
2.8 Life expectancy in the municipalities of Legal Amazonia,
1970, 1980, and 1991 29
2.9 Illiteracy rates in the municipalities of Legal Amazonia,
1970, 1980, and 1991 30
2.10 Infant mortality rates in the municipalities of Legal
Amazonia, 1970, 1980, and 1991 30
2.11 Percentage of private area in small farms in Legal
Amazonian municipalities, 1975, 1985, and 1995 31
2.12 Share of private area occupied by large farms in the
municipalities of Legal Amazonia, 1975, 1985, and 1995 32
3.1 Total crop area in Brazil according to Agricultural Census
and RAM data, by year, 1980-1996 47
3.2 Rural population densities in the municipalities of
Legal Amazonia, 1970, 1980, and 1996 48
3.3 Rural population densities in the municipalities of
Legal Amazonia, 1995 49
3.4 Average annual growth rates of rural population in
Legal Amazonia, 1970-1995 50
viii List of figures
3.5 Cattle densities in the municipalities of Legal Amazonia,
1970, 1980, and 1995 54
3.6 LANDSAT satellite image from 1991 of a piece of the
Transamazonica highway 57
3.7 LANDSAT satellite image from 1991 of deforestation in
Rondonia along the Cuiaba-Porto Velho highway 58
3.8 Cumulated Area of CUs created in Legal Amazonia,
1959-2001 62
4.1 Land prices and interest rate subsidies in Legal Amazonia,
1968-1992 76
5.1 Value of non-wood extractive products per hectare in Legal
Amazonia, 1995/1996 Agricultural Census 97
5.2 Value of non-wood extraction per establishment in each
municipality of Legal Amazonia, 1995/1996
Agricultural Census 100
7.1 Carbon contents during a slash-and-burn cycle 155
8.1 Temperature changes over the last 160,000 years 183
Tables
2.1 Historical information on key variables for the
North region of Brazil, 1840-1980 page 14
2.2 Migrants into Legal Amazonian states, by source region 25
2.3 Average level of income in migrants municipality of
origin, 1991 26
3.1 Municipalities and Minimum Comparable Areas
(MCAs) in Legal Amazonia, 1996 37
3.2 Natural vegetation types in Legal Amazonia 39
3.3 Natural forest shares, by state 40
3.4 Gross deforestation based on INPE satellite data,
1978-1995 41
3.5 Comparing deforestation estimates from satellite
and land surveys, 1975-1995 42
3.6 Satellite deforestation estimates, 1978 and 1988 44
3.7 Rural GDP per capita, by year and state, 1970-1995 52
3.8 Urban GDY per capita, by year and state, 1970-1995 52
3.9 Road building in Legal Amazonia, by type and state,
1960-1995 56
3.10 Comparing estimates of paved federal and state roads,
1975-1995 59
3.11 Comparing estimates of unpaved federal and state roads,
1975-1995 60
3.12 CUs and IRs in Legal Amazonia, 1992 64
4.1 Changes in agricultural land-use, 1970-1995 67
4.2 Land-Use Transition Matrix, 1975-1985 68
4.3 Cattle herd, by state and year, 1970-1995 71
4.4 Cattle stocking intensity, 1970-1995 72
4.5 Subsidies to cattle ranching until 1985 73
4.6 Land prices, by state and year, 1970-1995 75
4.7 Existing dams in Legal Amazonia, selected years 86
5.1 High value non-wood extraction municipalities: main
characteristics 99
x List of tables
5.2 Economic explanations of spatial variations in
extraction values 102
5.3 Biophysical explanations of spatial variations in extractivism
values 105
6.1 Estimation results: growth of cleared land 125
6.2 Estimation results: growth of rural GDP 128
6.3 Estimation results: growth of urban GDP 130
6.4 Estimation results: growth of urban population 131
6.5 Estimation results: growth of rural population 132
6.6 Estimation results: growth of cattle herd 133
6.7 Estimation results: growth of paved roads 135
6.8 Estimation results: growth of unpaved roads 136
6.9 Simulated effect of Avanga Brasil road improvements
after ten years 142
6.10 Simulated effect of Avanga Brasil, by state 142
6.11 Aggregate relationship between new paved roads and
cleared land 144
6.12 Simulated effect of land-use regulation after twenty years 148
6.13 NPV of rural GDP lost owing to land use restrictions 149
7.1 Carbon contents for different vegetation types and land uses 154
7.2 Decay parameters for the Carbon Inventory Model 154
7.3 Estimated age structure of fallow areas in Legal Amazonia,
1970-1985 159
7.4 Summary statistics for the average age of fallow areas
across municipalities, 1970-1985 159
7.5 Accumulated deforestation in Legal Amazonia, by
vegetation type, by 1985 161
7.6 Carbon emissions in Legal Amazonia, by state, 1970-1985 162
7.7 Accumulated GDP in Legal Amazonia, 1970-1985 162
7.8 Biomass sensitivity analysis 164
8.1 TEV of standing Amazon forest at current forest
stock levels 172
8.2 Rural GDP, urban GDP, and cleared area in
Legal Amazonia, by year, 1970-1995 178
8.3 NPV of cleared land in Legal Amazonia, according to
Agricultural Census data 192
8.4 Simulated rural GDP, urban GDP, and cleared area
in Legal Amazonia, 1995 194
8.5 NPV of road building in Legal Amazonia, according to
estimated model 195
A.I list of variables 216
A.2 Full estimation results: growth of cleared land 217
List of tables xi
A.3 Full estimation results: growth of rural GDP 220
A.4 Full estimation results: growth of urban GDP 223
A.5 Full estimation results: growth of cattle herd 226
A.6 Full estimation results: growth of urban population 229
A.7 Full estimation results: growth of rural population 232
A.8 Full estimation results: growth of paved roads 235
A.9 Full estimation results: growth of unpaved roads 238
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| spelling | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon Lykke E. Andersen ... 1. publ. Cambridge [u.a.] Cambridge Univ. Press 2002 XXI, 259 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Econometrische modellen gtt Ontbossing gtt Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Deforestation Economic aspects Amazon River Region Econometric models Deforestation Economic aspects Brazil Econometric models Deforestation Amazon River Region Deforestation Brazil Entwaldung (DE-588)4286698-4 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd rswk-swf Brasilien Brazil Economic policy Brasilien (DE-588)4008003-1 gnd rswk-swf Amazonas-Gebiet (DE-588)4338087-6 gnd rswk-swf Brasilien (DE-588)4008003-1 g Amazonas-Gebiet (DE-588)4338087-6 g Entwaldung (DE-588)4286698-4 s Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 s DE-604 Andersen, Lykke E. Sonstige oth http://www.loc.gov/catdir/toc/cam031/2002067617.html Table of contents http://www.loc.gov/catdir/description/cam022/2002067617.html Publisher description HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009883259&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon Econometrische modellen gtt Ontbossing gtt Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Deforestation Economic aspects Amazon River Region Econometric models Deforestation Economic aspects Brazil Econometric models Deforestation Amazon River Region Deforestation Brazil Entwaldung (DE-588)4286698-4 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4286698-4 (DE-588)4066527-6 (DE-588)4008003-1 (DE-588)4338087-6 |
| title | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon |
| title_auth | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon |
| title_exact_search | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon |
| title_full | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon Lykke E. Andersen ... |
| title_fullStr | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon Lykke E. Andersen ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon Lykke E. Andersen ... |
| title_short | The dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the Brazilian Amazon |
| title_sort | the dynamics of deforestation and economic growth in the brazilian amazon |
| topic | Econometrische modellen gtt Ontbossing gtt Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Deforestation Economic aspects Amazon River Region Econometric models Deforestation Economic aspects Brazil Econometric models Deforestation Amazon River Region Deforestation Brazil Entwaldung (DE-588)4286698-4 gnd Wirtschaftswachstum (DE-588)4066527-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Econometrische modellen Ontbossing Wirtschaftspolitik Ökonometrisches Modell Deforestation Economic aspects Amazon River Region Econometric models Deforestation Economic aspects Brazil Econometric models Deforestation Amazon River Region Deforestation Brazil Entwaldung Wirtschaftswachstum Brasilien Brazil Economic policy Amazonas-Gebiet |
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| work_keys_str_mv | AT andersenlykkee thedynamicsofdeforestationandeconomicgrowthinthebrazilianamazon |