Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling:
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Paramus, NJ
Prentice Hall
2001
|
| Edition: | 2. ed. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XXI, 506 S. graph. Darst. + CD-ROM (12 cm) |
| ISBN: | 0735202087 |
Staff View
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Shim, Jae K. |e Verfasser |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling |c Jae K. Shim ; Joel G. Siegel |
| 250 | |a 2. ed. | ||
| 264 | 1 | |a Paramus, NJ |b Prentice Hall |c 2001 | |
| 300 | |a XXI, 506 S. |b graph. Darst. + CD-ROM (12 cm) | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | What This Book Will Do for You xvii
A Word from the Authors xx
PART I: Financial Analysis 1
1: How to Use Break even, Operating Leverage,
and Contribution Margin 3
Break even Analysis 3
Measuring and Examining the Effects
of Operating Leverage 11
Contribution Margin Analysis 14
Conclusion 22
2. Applying Discounting and Compounding
Analysis Techniques 23
Future Value of $1 25
Future Value of an Annuity of $1 28
Future Value of an Annuity Due of $1 31
Present Value of $1 32
Present Value of an Annuity of $1 32
Present Value of an Annuity Due of $1 37
Perpetuities 38
Conclusion 38
3. How Evaluating Capital Investment Proposals
Leads to Sound Decision Making 41
Accounting (Simple) Rate of Return 43
Payback Period 44
Discounted Payback Period 46
Net Present Value 46
Profitability Index 51
Contingent Proposals 53
x Contents
Internal Rate of Return (Time Adjusted
Rate of Return) 53
Nondiscretionary Projects 56
Comparison of Methods 57
Capital Budgeting Process 58
Risk and Uncertainty 60
Conclusion 66
4. How to Analyze Financial Position 67
Analyzing Asset Quality 67
Liabilities 75
Liquidity Analysis 77
Appraisal of Solvency 81
Analyzing the Statement of Cash Flows 82
Potential for Business Failure 89
Conclusion 93
5. Techniques for Analyzing Operating
Performance 95
Quality of Earnings 95
Analysis of Discretionary Costs 97
Cash Flow from Operations 99
The Role of Taxable Income 100
Residual Income 101
Accounting Estimates 101
Internal Control and Management Honesty 103
Auditor Relations and Reports 103
Conclusion 103
6. How to Analyze the Financial Structure
of the Firm 105
How to Measure the Stability of Earnings 105
Stability Elements 108
Product Line Characteristics 109
Measuring a Company s Success 113
Risk 114
Industry Characteristics 115
Economic Factors 116
Contents xi
Political Factors 119
Conclusion 120
7. CIsing Variance Analysis as a Financial Tool . . . .121
Usefulness of Variance Analysis 122
Standard Setting 122
Sales Variances 123
Cost Variances 124
Variances to Evaluate Marketing Effort 129
Conclusion 132
PART II: Evaluating Assets, Liabilities,
and Potential Acquisitions 133
8. How to Evaluate Business Segments 135
Appraising Manager Performance 135
Cost Center 136
Profit Center 138
Investment Center 144
Conclusion 151
9. Tools and Techniques for Analyzing Cash,
Accounts Receivable, and Inventory 153
Evaluating Working Capital 153
Cash Management 154
Management of Accounts Receivable 159
Inventory Planning and Control 166
Conclusion 172
10. Portfolio Investment Analysis Information
You Meed 173
Accounting Aspects 173
Analytical Implications 174
Obtaining Information 175
Risk Versus Return 178
Financial Assets 180
Real Assets 188
xii Contents
Portfolio Analysis 190
Mutual Funds 190
Fundamental Analysis 192
Technical Analysis 192
Conclusion 203
11. How to Finance the Business 205
Financial Planning 205
Short and Intermediate Term Financing Sources 206
Comparing Short to Long Term Financing 210
Long Term Financing 211
Cost of Capital 213
Conclusion 217
12. Techniques for Analyzing Mergers
and Acquisitions 219
Mergers 220
Deciding on Acquisition Terms 222
Acquisition of Another Business 225
Impact of Merger on Earnings per Share
and Market Price per Share 227
Risk 230
Holding Company 231
Methods of Accounting for a Business
Combination 232
Conclusion 235
PART III: Financial Forecasting 237
13. Forecasting and Financial Planning
as Management Tools 239
Who Uses Forecasts? 239
Forecasting Methods 241
Selection of Forecasting Method 242
The Qualitative Approach 244
Common Features and Assumptions
Inherent in Forecasting 246
Contents xiii
Steps in the Forecasting Process 247
Conclusion 247
14. Forecasting Methods for Financial Planning . . . .249
Naive Models 249
Smoothing Techniques 249
The Computer and Exponential Smoothing 254
Forecasting Using Decomposition
of Time Series 255
Conclusion 264
15. How to Forecast with Regression
and Markov Methods 265
Regression Analysis Sales and Earnings
Projection 265
Regression Statistics 271
Statistics to Look for in Multiple Regressions 276
Evaluation of Forecasts 279
Checklists—How to Choose the Best
Forecasting Equation 287
Use of a Computer Statistical Package
for Multiple Regression 288
Models Based on Learned Behavior—Markov Model 291
Conclusion 301
16. Financial Forecasting, Planning,
and Budgeting Techniques 303
Financial Forecasting 303
Budgeting and Financial Planning 306
How the Budgets Work: An Example 307
A Shortcut Approach to Formulating
the Budget 323
Computer Based Models and Spreadsheet
Program Models for Budgeting 324
Zero Base Budgeting 324
The CPA s Involvement and Responsibility
with Prospective Financial Statements 325
Conclusion 329
xiv Contents
17. How to Forecast Cash Inflows for Budgeting . . .331
Probability Matrix Approach 332
Regression Approach 335
Is Cash Flow Software Available? 342
Conclusion 343
PART IV: FINANCIAL MODELING 345
18. Using Corporate Planning Models 347
Types of Analysis 348
Typical Questions About Corporate Modeling 348
Types of Models 350
History of Models 350
Current Trends in Modeling 351
Attitudes and Problems 353
MIS, DSS, EIS, and Personal Computers 359
The Future of Corporate Planning Models 360
Conclusion 361
Bibliography and Additional Readings 361
19. Financial Modeling—Simulation 363
Financial Model 363
Applications and CJses of Financial Models 364
Putting Financial Modeling into Practice 365
Quantitative Techniques Used
in Financial Models 366
Developing Financial Models 367
Model Specification 369
Comprehensive Financial Model 375
Conclusion 377
20. Techniques to Use to Develop
Optimal Budgets 379
Linear Programming 379
Goal Programming 385
Conclusion 387
Contents xv
21. How to Gse Spreadsheet and Financial
Modeling Languages 391
Gse of a Spreadsheet Program
for Financial Modeling 392
Forecasting Business Failures with Z Scores 395
Financial Modeling Languages 400
Interactive Financial Planning System (IFPS) 400
SIMPLAN: A Planning and Modeling System 409
EXPRESS 412
ENCORE! Plus 414
Budget Maestro 415
Conclusion 415
22. How to Gse and Apply Management
Games for Executive Training 421
Executive Management Games 423
Advantages and Disadvantages
of Executive Games 426
Validating the Game 430
A New Role for Computerized Executive Games 431
Conclusion 431
Bibliography and Additional Readings 431
23. Corporate Valuations 435
Steps in Valuation 437
Business Valuation Methods 443
Conclusion 453
Additional Readings 454
24. Security Valuation 455
How to Value a Security 455
How to Value Bonds 456
How to Value Common Stock 458
How to Forecast Stock Price—
A Pragmatic Approach 460
What Are the Determinants of the Price
Earnings Ratio? 461
xvi Contents
How to Read Beta 462
What Does It Mean When a Firm s Stock
Sells on a High or Low P/E Ratio? 463
Conclusion 464
25. Forensic Accounting 465
What Is Forensic Accounting? 465
Why Is Forensic Accounting Necessary? 467
When Does One Employ a Forensic Accountant? 467
Where is a Forensic Accountant Used? 468
How Does a Forensic Accountant Work? 469
A Case in Forensic Accounting 470
Appendix 487
Budgeting, Financial Analysis,
and Optimization Software 487
Forecasting and Statistical Software 492
Index 499
|
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| id | DE-604.BV014117183 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:57:57Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0735202087 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009672757 |
| oclc_num | 247994404 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-703 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
| owner_facet | DE-703 DE-91 DE-BY-TUM |
| physical | XXI, 506 S. graph. Darst. + CD-ROM (12 cm) |
| publishDate | 2001 |
| publishDateSearch | 2001 |
| publishDateSort | 2001 |
| publisher | Prentice Hall |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Shim, Jae K. Verfasser aut Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling Jae K. Shim ; Joel G. Siegel 2. ed. Paramus, NJ Prentice Hall 2001 XXI, 506 S. graph. Darst. + CD-ROM (12 cm) txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Finanzplanung (DE-588)4017200-4 gnd rswk-swf Finanzmanagement (DE-588)4139075-1 gnd rswk-swf Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd rswk-swf Finanzplanung (DE-588)4017200-4 s DE-604 Finanzmanagement (DE-588)4139075-1 s Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 s Siegel, Joel G. Verfasser aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009672757&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Shim, Jae K. Siegel, Joel G. Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling Finanzplanung (DE-588)4017200-4 gnd Finanzmanagement (DE-588)4139075-1 gnd Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4017200-4 (DE-588)4139075-1 (DE-588)4133000-6 |
| title | Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling |
| title_auth | Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling |
| title_exact_search | Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling |
| title_full | Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling Jae K. Shim ; Joel G. Siegel |
| title_fullStr | Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling Jae K. Shim ; Joel G. Siegel |
| title_full_unstemmed | Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling Jae K. Shim ; Joel G. Siegel |
| title_short | Handbook of financial analysis, forecasting, and modeling |
| title_sort | handbook of financial analysis forecasting and modeling |
| topic | Finanzplanung (DE-588)4017200-4 gnd Finanzmanagement (DE-588)4139075-1 gnd Finanzanalyse (DE-588)4133000-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Finanzplanung Finanzmanagement Finanzanalyse |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009672757&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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