How to forecast: a guide for business
This book provides a practical guide to forecasting the environment in which a firm operates, looking at those factors that are out of the firm's control, such as fiscal and monetary policy, population levels, and the labor market, and those under the firm's control, such as costs, prices,...
Gespeichert in:
| 1. Verfasser: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Aldershot
Gower
2001
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| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Zusammenfassung: | This book provides a practical guide to forecasting the environment in which a firm operates, looking at those factors that are out of the firm's control, such as fiscal and monetary policy, population levels, and the labor market, and those under the firm's control, such as costs, prices, profits, and product development. By understanding the issues surrounding these subjects, managers will be able to analyze data and construct useful forecasts. |
| Beschreibung: | XXI, 201 S. |
| ISBN: | 0566083639 |
Internformat
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | CONTENTS
List of diagrams vii
List of tables ix
Foreword by Robert Heller xi
Introduction: the role of forecasting xiii
PART 1 BEYOND THE FIRM S CONTROL
1 Forecasting the national economy 3
2 Interest rates and government policy 23
3 The global market, exchange rates and the balance of payments 39
4 Global warming, energy and commodity prices 55
5 Population, social trends and lifestyles 71
6 Technical change, communications and education 93
7 Spending power, profits and the market 107
PART 2 UNDER THE FIRM S CONTROL
8 Long term strategy and investment 121
9 Costs and prices 135
10 Forecasting from a model of the business 149
11 Forecasting profits 159
12 Forecasting share prices 173
13 The rules of forecasting 189
Bibliography 195
Index 197
LIST OF DIAGRAMS
1.1 The business environment xvii
1.1 National product flows 4
1.2 National product growth spiral 4
1.3 Government and the economy 6
1.4 Growth and investment i 1
1.5 Forecasting cycle 15
2.1 Phases in political economy, 1810 2010 25
2.2 Short term and long term interest rates 30
3.1 Euro dollar exchange rate 44
3.2 Sterling dollar exchange rate 45
3.3 The J curve 47
4.1 Global temperature variations 56
5.1 Britain s population explosion 73
5.2 European fertility 77
6.1 The Web s worldwide business 102
6.2 The technology S curve 103
7.1 Unemployment and earnings 109
8.1 A profit forecast 125
8.2 The three partners 132
9.1 Costs and prices 141
10.1 The split of revenue and value added 150
10.2 Operating ratios 153
LIST OF TABLES
5.1 The population of Britain from 1801 (millions) 73
5.2 World population growth to 2045: United Nations projection 75
5.3 Changes in fertility rates 78
5.4 Population size with and without AIDS for sub Saharan
countries (millions) 80
7.1 Household and personal income (%) 111
7.2 Disposable household and personal income (%) 111
7.3 Factor incomes in the national economy 112
7.4 Black economy as % of GDP 117
8.1 The business environment assumptions (year to year changes, %) 126
9.1 A forecast of national labour cost (average annual rate of
change, %) 137
10.1 Value added and its allocation for the FTA 100 Share Index
companies as at August 1986 150
10.2 The 100 company summary table performance indices,
July 1989 151
11.1 A standard form of analysis 167
11.2 Sales forecast (per cent per annum) 171
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| id | DE-604.BV014089934 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T18:57:28Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0566083639 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-009651843 |
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| physical | XXI, 201 S. |
| publishDate | 2001 |
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| publisher | Gower |
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| spelling | Morrell, James Verfasser aut How to forecast a guide for business James Morrell Aldershot Gower 2001 XXI, 201 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier This book provides a practical guide to forecasting the environment in which a firm operates, looking at those factors that are out of the firm's control, such as fiscal and monetary policy, population levels, and the labor market, and those under the firm's control, such as costs, prices, profits, and product development. By understanding the issues surrounding these subjects, managers will be able to analyze data and construct useful forecasts. Business forecasting Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd rswk-swf Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 s DE-604 Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 s Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 s HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009651843&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Morrell, James How to forecast a guide for business Business forecasting Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4061963-1 (DE-588)4066399-1 (DE-588)4047390-9 |
| title | How to forecast a guide for business |
| title_auth | How to forecast a guide for business |
| title_exact_search | How to forecast a guide for business |
| title_full | How to forecast a guide for business James Morrell |
| title_fullStr | How to forecast a guide for business James Morrell |
| title_full_unstemmed | How to forecast a guide for business James Morrell |
| title_short | How to forecast |
| title_sort | how to forecast a guide for business |
| title_sub | a guide for business |
| topic | Business forecasting Unternehmen (DE-588)4061963-1 gnd Wirtschaft (DE-588)4066399-1 gnd Prognose (DE-588)4047390-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Business forecasting Unternehmen Wirtschaft Prognose |
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