In defense of public opinion polling:
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Boulder [u.a.]
Westview Press
2001
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XIII, 368 S. |
| ISBN: | 0813397936 |
Staff View
MARC
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| adam_text | Contents
List of Illustrations ix
Preface xi
1 Why Americans Hate Pollsters 1
2 In Defense of Pollsters 45
3 The Giant Polling Industry 81
4 Reputable Pollsters Hate Bad Polls 105
5 But There Are Plenty of Good Polls 133
6 Why the Media Love (But Sometimes Hate) Polls 171
7 Today s Politicians Live and Die by Polls 195
8 Polls, the Clinton Lewinsky Scandal, and Democracy 227
9 Polling in Other Countries 255
10 Testing the Pollsters: How Accurate Were the Pollsters
Predictions in the 2000 Presidential, U.S. Senate, and
Gubernatorial Races? 285
11 Epilogue: Public Opinion Polling Can and
Should Be Defended 309
Appendix 319
Notes 327
Index 355
vii
Illustrations
Tables
2.1 Final pre election polls vs. results, 1948 1996 63
2.2 Average pre election presidential
poll prediction error, 1956 1960 65
2.3 Mitofsky s calculated average presidential poll
prediction error, 1956 1996 65
2.4 Prediction error in state polls, 1996 67
8.1 Clinton s monthly job approval ratings from
just before scandal to just after scandal 233
8.2 Clinton favorability scores after the scandal
compared to others associated with the scandal 247
10.1 2000 presidential election tracking polls from
June through last poll before
November 7, 2000, election 287
10.2 2000 presidential election predictions showing
calculated error by comparing last poll prediction
before election with actual election results 292
10.3 Summary of prediction error for the
winning and losing 2000 U.S. Senate candidates 297
10.4 Summary of prediction error for the
winning and losing 2000 gubernatorial candidates 301
10.5 Summary of prediction error for the winning and
losing 2000 presidential candidates in
each state by the last poll conducted 304
ix
X Illustrations
A.I 2000 U.S. senatorial election predictions showing
calculated error by comparing last poll prediction
before election with actual election results 319
A.2 2000 gubernatorial election predictions showing
calculated error by comparing last poll prediction
before election with actual election results 323
A.3 2000 presidential election prediction in each state
by the last poll conducted showing calculated error 325
Cartoons
For all your crimes against humanity 41
We have found the charges against you
to be unsubstantiated 79
Raking in the money 83
We only had three call ins on our sports show 113
Yes Mr. Wendel, but I m afraid that our study on the
polling industry is not good news for us 162
I don t need polls to make decisions 225
Monica, I can t tell you how much you have meant to me 235
|
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| spelling | Warren, Kenneth F. Verfasser aut In defense of public opinion polling Kenneth F. Warren Boulder [u.a.] Westview Press 2001 XIII, 368 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Public opinion polls Public opinion United States Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 gnd rswk-swf Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd rswk-swf USA USA (DE-588)4078704-7 gnd rswk-swf Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 s USA (DE-588)4078704-7 g DE-604 Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 s HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=009454950&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Warren, Kenneth F. In defense of public opinion polling Public opinion polls Public opinion United States Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 gnd Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4011425-9 (DE-588)4043152-6 (DE-588)4078704-7 |
| title | In defense of public opinion polling |
| title_auth | In defense of public opinion polling |
| title_exact_search | In defense of public opinion polling |
| title_full | In defense of public opinion polling Kenneth F. Warren |
| title_fullStr | In defense of public opinion polling Kenneth F. Warren |
| title_full_unstemmed | In defense of public opinion polling Kenneth F. Warren |
| title_short | In defense of public opinion polling |
| title_sort | in defense of public opinion polling |
| topic | Public opinion polls Public opinion United States Demoskopie (DE-588)4011425-9 gnd Öffentliche Meinung (DE-588)4043152-6 gnd |
| topic_facet | Public opinion polls Public opinion United States Demoskopie Öffentliche Meinung USA |
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