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Beyond El Niño: decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables

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Bibliographic Details
Format:	Book
Language:	German
Published:	Berlin [u.a.] Springer 1999
Subjects:	El-Niño-Phänomen Klimaänderung Klimaschwankung Aufsatzsammlung
Online Access:	Inhaltsverzeichnis
Physical Description:	XX, 374 S. graph. Darst., Kt.
ISBN:	3540636625

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Record in the Search Index

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adam_text	ANTONIO NAVARRA (ED.) BEYOND EL NINO DECADAL AND INTERDECADAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY WITH 168 FIGURES AND 7 TABLES SPRINGER TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS XVII 1 INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY AT NORTHERN HIGH LATITUDES 1 LAWRENCE A. MYSAK 1.1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.2 A FEEDBACK LOOP FOR INTERDECADAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN THE ARCTIC 8 1.3 EVIDENCE FOR A GREAT ICE AND SALINITY ANOMALY (GISA) EVENT IN THE LATE 1980S 9 1.4 POSSIBLE SOURCES FOR THE PRECIPITATION AND RUNOFF ANOMALIES IN THE MACKENZIE BASIN: AN ATTEMPT TO VERIFY THE CYCLOGENESIS-RELATED LINKS IN THE FEEDBACK LOOP 13 1.5 MODELS OF THE GREAT SALINITY ANOMALY (GSA) AND OTHER INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY IN THE ARCTIC AND NORTHERN NORTH ATLANTIC... 18 1.5.1 SIMULATIONS OF THE GSA 18 1.5.2 MODELS OF COUPLED ICE-OCEAN INTERDECADAL OSCILLATIONS 22 1.5.3 INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY IN OCEAN GCMS. 23 1.5.4 THE 50-YEAR OSCILLATION IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC THC 23 2 SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC: MONTHLY TO DECADAL TIME SCALES 25 CLAUDE FRANKIGNOUL 2.1 INTRODUCTION 25 2.2 SHORT-TERM VARIABILITY 27 2.3 DECADAL VARIABILITY 34 2.3.1 OBSERVATIONS 34 2.3.2 COUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE MODELS 39 2.3.3 THERMOCLINE RESPONSE TO STOCHASTIC WIND STRESS FORCING 44 2.3.4 OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE FEEDBACK 46 2.4 CONCLUSIONS 47 XLL 3 RECENT DECADAL SST VARIABILITY IN THE NORTHWESTERN PACIFIC AND ASSOCIATED ATMOSPHERIC ANOMALIES 49 HISASHI NAKAMURA AND TOSHIO YAMAGATA 3.1 INTRODUCTION 49 3.2 DATA 51 3.3 CHARACTERISTICS OF SST VARIABILITY OVER THE NW PACIFIC 54 3.4 DOMINANT DECADAL VARIABILITY IN WINTER 55 3.4.1 SPATIAL STRUCTURE 55 3.4.2 TIME EVOLUTION 59 3.4.3 COMPARISON WITH ENSO-SCALE VARIABILITY 63 3.5 DOMINANT DECADAL VARIABILITY IN SUMMER 65 3.6 DISCUSSION 70 4 LARGE SCALE MODES OF OCEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE SINCE THE LATE NINETEENTH CENTURY 73 C. K. FOLLAND, D. E. PARKER, A. W. COLMAN R. WASHINGTON 4.1 INTRODUCTION 73 4.2 DATA 74 4.3 LOW FREQUENCY VARIABILITY IN MARINE SURFACE TEMPERATURES 75 4.3.1 GLOBAL AND REGIONAL TIME SERIES OF SST AND NMAT ANOMALIES 75 4.3.2 POWER SPECTRA 75 4.3.3 SPATIAL PATTERNS OF NEAR BIDECADAL OCEAN SURFACE TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY 81 4.3.4 SYNTHESIS OF VARIABILITY: EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTION (EOF) ANALYSIS 83 4.3.5 EXTENDED EOF ANALYSIS OF LF SST, 90 4.3.6 STABILITY OF THE ALL SEASONS EOF ANALYSES 92 4.4 RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN MARINE SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND TROPIC-WIDE RAINFALL ON MULTI DECADAL TIME-SCALES 93 4.5 LOW FREQUENCY RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN MARINE SURFACE TEMPERATURES AND SOUTHERN AFRICAN RAINFALL 96 4.6 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS 99 4.7 APPENDIX: ENHANCEMENT OF EOF TIME SERIES FOR MISSING DATA 100 5 ) THE INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON AND ITS VARIABILITY 103 JULIA SLINGO 5.1 INTRODUCTION 103 5.2 MEAN BEHAVIOR OF THE INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON 105 5.3 INTERANNUAL TO DECADAL VARIABILITY AND ITS RELATIONSHIP WITH EL NINO 106 XLLL 5.4 UNDERSTANDING THE FACTORS THAT INFLUENCE MONSOON INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY 109 5.5 SUBSEASONAL BEHAVIOUR AND ITS RELEVANCE TO INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY....... 113 5.6 POTENTIAL PREDICTABILITY OF THE INDIAN SUMMER MONSOON 116 6 CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN NORTHERN AFRICA: UNDERSTANDING DROUGHTS IN THE SAHEL AND THE MAHGREB 119 M. NEIL WARD PETER J. LAMB, DIANE H. PORTIS MOSTAFA EL HAMLY, RACHID SEBBARI 6.1 INTRODUCTION 119 6.2 DISCUSSION OF DATA AND METHODS 121 6.3 THE BOREAL SUMMER SEASON JULY-SEPTEMBER: THE SAHELIAN RAINY SEASON 122 6.4 TRANSITION SEASONS IN TROPICAL NORTH AFRICA 128 6.5 SUB-TROPICAL NORTHWESTERN AFRICA 132 6.6 DISCUSSION 138 6.7 APPENDIX - EXAMPLES OF FILTERING PROCEDURES 140 7 SST-FORCED EXPERIMENTS AND CLIMATE VARIABILITY 14 1 ANTONIO NAVARRA 7.1 INTRODUCTION 141 7.2 ENSEMBLES OF SIMULATIONS 145 7.2.1 THE NEED FOR ENSEMBLES 145 7.2.2 REPRODUCIBILITY 150 7.2.3 MANIFOLDS 152 7.3 EVALUATION OF PERFORMANCE: SKILL AND REPRODUCIBILITY 153 7.3.1 INFORMATION AND ENSEMBLE . 153 7.4 -SKILL AND REPRODUCIBILITY FOR 1961-1994.., 154 7.5 LONGER TIME SCALES 159 8 IMPACT OF ENSEMBLE SIZE ON THE ASSESSMENT OF MODEL CLIMATE SIGNAL 163 Z.X. LI 8.1 INTRODUCTION 163 8.2 MODEL AND CLIMATE SIGNAL 163 8.3 IMPACT OF ENSEMBLE SIZE 165 8.4 CONCLUSION 168 XIV I 9 INTERANNUAL AND DECADAL VARIABILITY IN THE I TROPICAL PACIFIC 171 ! SIMON F. B.TETT, MICHAEL K. DAVEY AND SARAH INESON { 9.1 INTRODUCTION 171 J 9.2 DATA SOURCES 172 9.3 MODEL DESCRIPTION 173 9.4 CLIMATOLOGY AND INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY 175 9.4.1 CLIMATOLOGY 175 9.4.2 INTER-ANNUAL VARIANCE 178 9.4.3 TIMESERIES ANALYSIS 182 9.4.4 SST AND VAT PROPAGATION CHARACTERISTICS 186 9.4.5 ZONAL WINDSTRESS RELATIONSHIPS TO SST. 189 9.5 DECADAL VARIABILITY IN ENSO 191 9.6 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 192 10 THE DECADAL VARIABILITY OF THE PACIFIC WITH THE MRI COUPLED MODELS 197 SEIJI YUKIMOTO 10.1 INTRODUCTION 197 10.2 MODELS 197 10.3 SPATIAL STRUCTURE OF THE DECADAL VARIABILITY 198 10.4 TEMPORAL STRUCTURE OF THE DECADAL VARIABILITY 203 10.5 TWO DISTINCT DECADAL MODES IN THE AOGCM 204 10.6 DISCUSSION ABOUT THE INHERENT MECHANISM 211 11 DYNAMICS OF INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY IN COUPLED OCEAN-ATMOSPHERE MODELS 213 MOJIB LATIF 11.1 INTRODUCTION . 213 11.2, - INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY ORIGINATING IN THE TROPICS 215 11.2.1 THE TROPICAL PACIFIC 215 11.2.2 THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC 217 11.3 TROPICS-MIDLATITUDES INTERACTIONS 222 11.4 MIDLATITUDE DECADAL VARIABILITY INVOLVING THE WIND-DRIVEN GYRES 224 11.4.1 THE NORTH PACIFIC GYRE MODE 226 11.4.2 THE NORTH ATLANTIC GYRE MODE 229 11.4.3 RELATIVE ROLES OF STOCHASTIC AND DETERMINISTIC PROCESSES 235 11.5 MIDLATITUDE INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY INVOLVING THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION ; 236 11.6 PREDICTABILITY AT DECADAL TIME SCALES 243 11.7 DISCUSSION 249 XV 12 SIMULATIONS OF THE VARIABILITY OF THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC 251 MJ.ORTIZ BEVIA, W CABOS NARVAEZ J. M. OBERHUBER 12.1 INTRODUCTION 251 12.2 SIMULATION OF THE SEASONAL VARIABILITY 254 12.3 THE SIMULATION EL OF THE INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY 256 12.4 SENSITIVITY EXPERIMENTS: SIMULATIONS SI, S2 AND E2 258 12.5 THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC VARIABILITY IN A COUPLED GENERAL CIRCULATION MODEL 261 12.6 STATISTICAL COMPARISON OF THE SIMULATED INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY 261 12.6.1 THE SIMULATIONS EL AND E2 263 12.6.2 SIMULATIONS SI AND S2 265 12.6.3 THE COUPLED ECHAM4/0PYC RUN 266 12.6.4 COMPARISON OF STATISTICAL RELATIONSHIPS AMONG VARIABLES 266 12.7 DISCUSSION....; 270 13 NORTH-ATLANTIC DECADAL CLIMATE VARIABILITY IN A COUPLED ATMOSPHERE/OCEAN/SEA-ICE MODEL OF MODERATE COMPLEXITY 275 R. J. HAARSMA, F. M. SELTEN, J. D. OPSTEEGH, Q. LIU AND A. KATTENBERG 13.1 INTRODUCTION 275 13.2 DESCRIPTION OF THE MODEL 277 13.2.1 ATMOSPHERIC MODEL 277 13.2.2 OCEAN MODEL 280 13.2.3 SEA-ICE MODEL 282 13.2.4 THE COUPLED MODEL 282 13.3 CLIMATE OF THE ATMOSPHERE MODEL...... 282 13.4 CLIMATE OF THE OCEAN MODEL 285 13.5 CLIMATOLOGY AND VARIABILITY OF THE COUPLED MODEL 288 13.6 DECADAL VARIABILITY OF THE NORTH-ATLANTIC 291 13.7 CONCLUSIONS 297 14 A THEORY FOR INTERDECADAL CLIMATE FLUCTUATIONS 301 D. GU AND S.G.H. PHILANDER 14.1 INTRODUCTION 301 14.2 THE INFLUENCE OF THE EXTRA-TROPICAL WINDS 302 14.3 A SIMPLE MODEL OF INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY 305 XVI 15 DECADAL VARIABILITY OF THE THERMOHALINE OCEAN CIRCULATION 309 STEFAN RAHMSTORF 15.1 THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION AS COMPONENT OF THE CLIMATE SYSTEM 309 15.2 EVIDENCE FOR DECADAL VARIABILITY OF THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION 311 15.3 PHYSICS OF THE THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION 313 15.4 BASIC VARIABILITY MECHANISMS 318 15.4.1 HASSELMANN S MECHANISM 318 15.4.2 INTERNAL VARIABILITY MODES OF THE OCEAN 319 15.4.3 FORCED VARIABILITY 320 15.4.4 COUPLED MODES 321 15.5 MODELS WITH REALISTIC GEOGRAPHY 322 15.6 IDEALIZED MODELS 328 15.7 CONCLUSIONS 330 REFERENCES 333 ABBREVIATIONS 368 SUBJECT INDEX 371
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spelling	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables Antonio Navarra (ed.) Berlin [u.a.] Springer 1999 XX, 374 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier El-Niño-Phänomen Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd rswk-swf El-Niño-Phänomen (DE-588)4136907-5 gnd rswk-swf Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content El-Niño-Phänomen (DE-588)4136907-5 s Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 s DE-604 Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 s Navarra, Antonio 1956- Sonstige (DE-588)120765004 oth GBV Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=008472437&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis
spellingShingle	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables El-Niño-Phänomen Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd El-Niño-Phänomen (DE-588)4136907-5 gnd Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 gnd
subject_GND	(DE-588)4164199-1 (DE-588)4136907-5 (DE-588)4031175-2 (DE-588)4143413-4
title	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables
title_auth	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables
title_exact_search	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables
title_full	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables Antonio Navarra (ed.)
title_fullStr	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables Antonio Navarra (ed.)
title_full_unstemmed	Beyond El Niño decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables Antonio Navarra (ed.)
title_short	Beyond El Niño
title_sort	beyond el nino decadal and interdecadal climate variability with 7 tables
title_sub	decadal and interdecadal climate variability ; with 7 tables
topic	El-Niño-Phänomen Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd El-Niño-Phänomen (DE-588)4136907-5 gnd Klimaschwankung (DE-588)4031175-2 gnd
topic_facet	El-Niño-Phänomen Klimaänderung Klimaschwankung Aufsatzsammlung
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