Population in Asia:
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Washington, DC
World Bank
1995
|
| Edition: | 1. print. |
| Series: | World Bank regional and sectoral studies
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XVII, 243 S. |
| ISBN: | 0821331310 |
Staff View
MARC
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Record in the Search Index
| _version_ | 1804124831887654912 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
Foreword xv
Acknowledgments xvii
1 Introduction and Overview of Findings 1
Literature Background 1
Scope and Limitations of the Study 2
A Guide to the Contents 4
Overview of Findings 4
Three Key Messages 6
The Demographic Context for Population Policies in Asia 6
Past Patterns of Population Growth 7
Links between Demographic Variables and Population Growth 8
The Design of Family Planning Programs 9
Aspects of Program Finance 9
Patterns of Resource Allocation 10
Public Private Sector Roles 11
Aspects of Service Delivery 11
Lessons from Selected Case Studies 13
An Agenda for Future Work 16
Supporting Sustainable Policies 16
Improving Knowledge for Policy Formulation 17
Coping with Population Increase and Change 18
Notes 23
2 Population Size and Growth in Asian Countries 25
Population Sizes in 1950 and 1990 25
Trends in Population Growth Rates 27
Crossover Pattern among Currently Low , Medium , and High
Fertility Countries 27
The Determinants of Population Growth: Crude Birth and Death
Rates 30
General Trends 30
Decomposition of the Crossover Phenomenon 31
v
M Population in Asia
Trends in Fertility 34
Changes in Mortality 36
Effects of Age and Sex Structures on Crude Birth and Death
Rates 39
Cross Country Differences in Age and Sex Structures 41
Age Structure Differences and the Crossover Phenomenon 45
Distilling a Lesson from Asia s Demographic Past 46
Notes 48
3 Contraceptive Prevalence, Fertility Levels, and Population
Growth 51
Defining an Analytical Framework 51
The Sensitivity of the Total Fertility Rate and the Population
Growth Rate to the Proximate Determinants: A Hypothetical
Example 53
The Proximate Determinants of Fertility in Selected Asian
Countries 55
Bangladesh 57
China 58
India 59
Indonesia 59
Republic of Korea 60
Malaysia 60
Nepal 61
Philippines 61
Sri Lanka 62
Thailand 62
Viet Nam 62
Conclusions 63
Notes 64
4 Expenditure, Finance, and Public Private Roles in Family
Planning 67
Levels and Trends in Aggregate Public Spending 67
Public Spending on Selected Components of Family Planning
Services 69
Domestic and External Sources of Funding for Programs 73
Public Private Roles in Family Planning 75
User Contribution for Public Sector Services 80
,jiH Population in Asia ,
The Assumptions behind World Bank Population
Projections 156
Sensitivity of the Projections to Assumptions about the
Replacement Fertility Date 157
Conclusions 161
Notes 162
8 Coping with Population Growth and Change 165
Population and the Environment 165
Education Sector Implications 169
Health Sector Implications 175
Population and Employment 181
Population and Urbanization 189
Notes 195
Appendix A Parameterization of the Total Fertility Rate 199
Parameterization of the Age Specific Proportions Currently
Married 200
Parameterization of the Age Specific Marital Fertility
Rates 203
Notes 206
Appendix B Government Policies and Their Effects on the Use
of Family Planning Services: An Analytical Framework 207
The Government as a Direct Supplier of Services 207
Mobilizing and Influencing Private Participation in Service
Delivery 210
Summary 210
Appendix C Supplementary Data 213
References 223
Text Tables
2.1 Population sizes of selected Asian countries in 1950 and
1990 26
2.2 Life expectancy at birth in selected Asian countries, 1950 54 and
1985 89 38
Contents ix
2.3 Infant mortality rates in selected Asian countries, 1950 54 and
1985 89 40
2.4 Women of reproductive age as a percentage of the population,
and median age of the population in selected Asian countries,
1950 and 1990 44
3.1 The sensitivity of the total fertility rate and the population growth
rate to selected determinants 54
3.2 Fertility parameters in selected Asian countries, 1970 1993 56
4.1 Aggregate public expenditure on family planning programs in
selected Asian countries, 1985 and 1989 68
4.2 Annual public spending on contraceptives, family planning
related training, IEC, and incentives, Asian countries, most
recent year 71
4.3 External funding for family planning programs as percentage of
total public spending on family planning programs, Asian
countries, 1985 and 1989 74
4.4 Contraceptive prevalence rates and percentage distribution of
currently contracepting married women according to source of
service or supply, selected Asian countries and world regions 76
4.5 Percent distribution of currently married women using clinical and
nonclinical contraception by source of service or supply, selected
Asian countries and world regions, 1980s 78
4.6 Official pricing policies for public family planning services in
selected countries, circa 1987 81
4.7 Schedule of payment to acceptors of sterilization and IUD in
Bangladesh, India, Republic of Korea, Nepal and Sri Lanka 83
4.8 Percentage of clients of public family planning services who receive
services free of charge, and prices charged to paying public sector
clients, selected Asian countries 84
4.9 Price elasticities at various sample mean prices for a year s
contraceptive protection in the Philippines, Jamaica, Thailand,
and Indonesia 87
5.1 Family planning delivery systems in selected Asian countries, 1982
and 1989 (Lapham Mauldin Ross Scores on a 0 to 4 scale) 98
5.2 Aspects of the quality of family planning services in selected
Asian countries, 1982 and 1989 (Lapham Mauldin Ross Scores
on a 0 to 4 scale) 100
5.3 Ratio of married women of reproductive age (MWRA) to various
public sector outlets for family planning services, Asian countries,
late 1980s 103
Contents vii
Current Fee Policies 80
Price Elasticities of Demand for Contraception 85
Notes 90
5 Delivery of Family Planning Services 95
Institutional Modes 95
Types of Services 96
The Quality of Services 99
Density of Public Sector Delivery Infrastructure 101
Targeting of Public Sector Services 104
Partnership with Nongovernment Providers 107
Notes 111
6 Selected Case Studies on Family Planning Programs 113
China 113
Overall Family Planning Goals and Policies 114
Expenditure on Family Planning Services 116
Financial Incentives and Penalties in China s Program 119
Sources of Funding 122
Delivery of Services 123
Interventions and Their Effectiveness 125
Potential Lessons from China s Experience 126
India 128
Patterns of User Finance 129
Incidence of Payments to Acceptors of Sterilization 130
Availability of Nonsterilization Methods 133
Summary 134
Indonesia 135
Institutional Context of Fertility Decline 136
Assessing the Contribution of Demand and Supply Factors 138
Analytical Framework, Methodological Issues, and Results 138
Interpretation of the Results 140
Policy Implications 143
Notes 144
7 Future Population Sizes of Asian Countries 149
World Bank Population Projections to the Year 2030 149
Population Momentum and Population Growth in Asia 152
x Population in Asia
5.4 Government share of contraceptive service or supply source in urban
and rural areas, selected Asian countries and world regions 105
5.5 Users of free contraceptive pills supplied through government
sources, selected Asian countries, late 1980s 106
5.6 Selected characteristics of Asian Family Planning
Associations 108
6.1 Reported operational expenses of China s family planning
program, 1978 90 117
6.2 Estimated operational expenses and their allocation in China s
family planning program, 1985,1987, and 1989 118
6.3 Financial incentives for single child families in China, 1989 120
6.4 Aggregate expenditure on financial incentives for single child
families in China, 1985,1987, and 1989 121
6.5 Percentage of users of various contraceptive methods by category
of service received, India 1986 87 130
6.6 Percentage of users of various contraceptive methods by category
of service received, rural and urban India 1986 87 131
6.7 Seekers of nonsterilization methods of contraception, India
1986 87 133
6.8 Unsuccessful seekers of selected family planning services as a
percentage of all service seekers by consumption fractile in urban
and rural areas, India 1986 87 135
6.9 Selected demographic characteristics of Indonesia, selected years
1950 90 137
6.10 Percentage contribution of various proximate determinants to
fertility decline in Indonesia, 1982 87 139
6.11 Predicted fertility change due to the effects of various factors on
contraception, Indonesia, 1982 1986 141
6.12 Means and percentage changes in selected indicators of family
planning inputs and socioeconomic conditions in sample
communities, Indonesia, 1982 86 142
7.1 Standard World Bank projections of population size of selected
Asian countries in 2030 150
7.2 Hypothetical examples to illustrate the effect of population
momentum on population growth 153
7.3 Percentage of World Bank projected population increase during
1990 to 2030 due to population momentum, selected Asian
countries 154
7.4 Comparing population sizes under different assumptions about
replacement fertility date 159
Contents xi
8.1 Percentage contribution of replacement level fertility and technical
change to the maintenance of the 1990 level of pollution in
2030 168
8.2 Selected education indicators in Asian countries, mid 1980s 170
8.3 School age population and dependency ratios in selected Asian
countries 171
8.4 Primary school age population (5 9) and primary education
indicators in selected Asian countries 173
8.5 Percentage change in size of each age cohort in selected Asian
countries, 1990 2010 176
8.6 Health and fertility indicators in selected Asian countries,
selected years 178
8.7 Cohort size of population ages 0 4 and percentage of one year
olds immunized, selected Asian countries 180
8.8 Percentage increase in number of women ages 15 49 and
contraceptive prevalence rates in selected Asian countries 182
8.9 Growth of the working age population (15 59) in selected Asian
countries 183
8.10 Percentage of economically active population engaged in agriculture,
hunting, and fishing in selected Asian countries 185
8.11 Growth of the population ages 15 19 in selected Asian countries,
1970 188
8.12 Urban growth in Asia, 1980 2000 191
8.13 Population size and measures of urban infrastructure and services
in major Asian cities 193
Text Figures
2.1 Population growth rate in Asia, 1950 54 and 1985 89 28
2.2 Population growth rates in Asia, 1950 89 28
2.3 Population growth rates in three groups of Asian countries,
1950 89 29
2.4 Trends in crude birth and death rates in Asia, 1950 89 31
2.5 Trends in crude birth rates in three groups of Asian countries,
1950 89 32
2.6 Trends in crude death rates in three groups of Asian countries,
1950 89 33
2.7 Trends in total fertility rates in currently low fertility Asian
countries, 1950 89 35
2.8 Trends in total fertility rates in currently medium fertility Asian
countries, 1950 89 36
^Y Population in Asia
2.9 Trends in total fertility rates in currently high fertility Asian
countries, 1950 89 37
2.10 Age pyramid of Bangladesh, 1990 41
2.11 Age pyramid of India, 1990 42
2.12 Age pyramid of Korea, 1990 43
4.1 Elasticity of demand for contraceptives with respect to their cost,
Thailand 1984 88
6.1 Total fertility rates in China, 1950 90 114
6.2 Distribution of aggregate incentive payments for family
planning, India 1986 87 132
7.1 Percentage increase in population size in selected Asian countries,
1950 90 and 1990 2030 151
7.2 Two projections of population increase in selected Asian countries,
1990 2030 155
7.3 Date at which replacement fertility is reached under World Bank
populatio projections for selected Asian countries 157
7.4 Effect of alternative replacement fertility dates on the size of
India s population in 2030 160
8.1 Age distribution of populations in selected Asian countries, 1990
and 2010 177
8.2 Relation between total fertility rates and infant mortality rates,
Asia, 1989 179
8.3 Relation between total fertility rates and the ratio of female to male
expected number of years lived between ages 15 and 50 181
8.4 Women s labor force participation rates in selected countries,
late 1980s 187
8.5 Correlation between urbanization and per capita GNP in Asia,
circa 1990 190
8.6 Population size of selected Asian cities, 1970 2000 192
Appendix Tables
A4.1 Gross National Product (GNP), selected Asian countries, 1985
and 1989 213
A4.2 Public expenditure on health and family planning, selected Asian
countries, 1985 and 1989 214
A4.3 Public expenditure on selected components of family planning
programs, selected Asian countries, most recent year 215
A4.4 External financing of family planning programs in Asian
countries, 1985 and 1989 216
Contents xiii
A4.5 Payment to acceptors of sterlization and IUD in Bangladesh,
India, Korea, Nepal and Sri Lanka 217
A4.6 Own price elasticities of contraceptive demand in Thailand
1984 218
A5.1 Number of public sector outlets by type of contraceptive services
offered, selected Asian countries, most recent year 219
A6.1 Total fertility rates, China, 1950 1993 220
A8.1 Life expectancy of males and females at ages 15 and 50, selected
Asian countries in selected years 221
A8.2 Urban and total population size, Asian countries, selected years
1970 2020 222
Appendix Figures
B.I Excess capacity of public facilities to supply contraceptive
supplies 208
B.2 Shortage of public facilities to supply contraceptive services 209
B.3 Subsidizing private suppliers of contraceptive services 211
B.4 Shifting the demand for contraceptive services 211
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Sanderson, Warren C. Tan, Jee-Peng |
| author_facet | Sanderson, Warren C. Tan, Jee-Peng |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Sanderson, Warren C. |
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| building | Verbundindex |
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| dewey-ones | 304 - Factors affecting social behavior |
| dewey-raw | 304.6095 20 304.6095 |
| dewey-search | 304.6095 20 304.6095 |
| dewey-sort | 3304.6095 220 |
| dewey-tens | 300 - Social sciences |
| discipline | Soziologie |
| edition | 1. print. |
| format | Book |
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| geographic | Asie - Population ram Asien Asia -- Population Asien (DE-588)4003217-6 gnd |
| geographic_facet | Asie - Population Asien Asia -- Population |
| id | DE-604.BV010404849 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T17:51:55Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 0821331310 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-006928417 |
| oclc_num | 31411725 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-12 DE-521 DE-188 |
| owner_facet | DE-12 DE-521 DE-188 |
| physical | XVII, 243 S. |
| publishDate | 1995 |
| publishDateSearch | 1995 |
| publishDateSort | 1995 |
| publisher | World Bank |
| record_format | marc |
| series2 | World Bank regional and sectoral studies |
| spelling | Sanderson, Warren C. Verfasser aut Population in Asia Warren C. Sanderson ; Jee-Peng Tan 1. print. Washington, DC World Bank 1995 XVII, 243 S. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier World Bank regional and sectoral studies Bevolkingsvraagstuk gtt Fecundidad humana - Asia Fécondité humaine - Asie ram Natalidad, Limitación de la - Asia Régulation des naissances - Asie ram Vruchtbaarheid gtt Birth control -- Asia Fertility, Human -- Asia Familienplanung (DE-588)4113510-6 gnd rswk-swf Geburtenregelung (DE-588)4019593-4 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 gnd rswk-swf Asie - Population ram Asien Asia -- Population Asien (DE-588)4003217-6 gnd rswk-swf Asien (DE-588)4003217-6 g Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 s DE-604 Familienplanung (DE-588)4113510-6 s Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 s Geburtenregelung (DE-588)4019593-4 s 1\p DE-604 Tan, Jee-Peng Verfasser aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006928417&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Sanderson, Warren C. Tan, Jee-Peng Population in Asia Bevolkingsvraagstuk gtt Fecundidad humana - Asia Fécondité humaine - Asie ram Natalidad, Limitación de la - Asia Régulation des naissances - Asie ram Vruchtbaarheid gtt Birth control -- Asia Fertility, Human -- Asia Familienplanung (DE-588)4113510-6 gnd Geburtenregelung (DE-588)4019593-4 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4113510-6 (DE-588)4019593-4 (DE-588)4006292-2 (DE-588)4129300-9 (DE-588)4003217-6 |
| title | Population in Asia |
| title_auth | Population in Asia |
| title_exact_search | Population in Asia |
| title_full | Population in Asia Warren C. Sanderson ; Jee-Peng Tan |
| title_fullStr | Population in Asia Warren C. Sanderson ; Jee-Peng Tan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Population in Asia Warren C. Sanderson ; Jee-Peng Tan |
| title_short | Population in Asia |
| title_sort | population in asia |
| topic | Bevolkingsvraagstuk gtt Fecundidad humana - Asia Fécondité humaine - Asie ram Natalidad, Limitación de la - Asia Régulation des naissances - Asie ram Vruchtbaarheid gtt Birth control -- Asia Fertility, Human -- Asia Familienplanung (DE-588)4113510-6 gnd Geburtenregelung (DE-588)4019593-4 gnd Bevölkerungsentwicklung (DE-588)4006292-2 gnd Bevölkerungswachstum (DE-588)4129300-9 gnd |
| topic_facet | Bevolkingsvraagstuk Fecundidad humana - Asia Fécondité humaine - Asie Natalidad, Limitación de la - Asia Régulation des naissances - Asie Vruchtbaarheid Birth control -- Asia Fertility, Human -- Asia Familienplanung Geburtenregelung Bevölkerungsentwicklung Bevölkerungswachstum Asie - Population Asien Asia -- Population |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006928417&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sandersonwarrenc populationinasia AT tanjeepeng populationinasia |