The explanatory power of business cycle surveys: papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993
Saved in:
| Format: | Book |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Aldershot u.a.
Avebury
1994
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XII, 726 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 1856285758 |
Staff View
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The explanatory power of business cycle surveys |b papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 |c ed. by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer ... |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
Page
1 Plenary Session
The Economic Problems of South Africa
in Perspective
Chairperson: Colin McCarthy 1
S. VAN DEN BERG
The Economic Problems of South Africa
in Perspective 3
H. KOTZE
The Elite Factor in South Africa s
Political Transition 19
O. STUART
The Use of Survey Data in a
Rapidly Changing Environment 43
2A Explanatory Power of Indicators
Chairperson: Wolfgang Franz 65
G. GOLDRIAN
Development of Leading Indicators
for German Exports 67
L FRASER JACKSON / A. BOLLARD
Constructing Summary Measures for Business
Opinion Surveys and their Explanatory Power 83
G. SCHLITZER
The Indicator Approach to Business Cycle Analysis:
An Application to the Italian Economy 113
VII
J. J. VANHAELEN / H. DE DONCKER
The Use of the Capacity Survey to Explain
the Behaviour of Entrepreneurs 133
2B Forecasts Based on Survey Data (Part I)
Chairperson: Kit B. Chow 159
H. BAKIR
The Combination of Forecasts with an
Application to the Major Macroeconomic
Series of Turkey 161
H. BOSHOFF
Political Forecasting Using Opinion Surveys
as an Aid to Business Cycle Forecasting 189
G. H. MOORE / R A. KLEIN / L. HIRIS
The Role of Surveys in Developing Promptly
Available Indexes for Forecasting 217
2C Innovation Surveys
Chairperson: Marcella Corsi 241
H. KONIG / F. LAISNEY / M. LECHNER / W. POHLMEIER
On the Dynamics of Process Innovative Activity:
An Empirical Investigation Using Panel Data 243
L SCHOLZ / P. KAMINSKI
International Comparison of Innovation
Survey Data: Methodological Problems and
Empirical Results 263
VIII
3A Forecasts Based on Survey Data (Part II)
Chairperson: John R Cullity 281
S. C. WOLTER
The Use of Survey Results in Respect to
Autoregressive Expectation Formation 283
W. GERSTENBERGER / F. J. KLEIN
Accuracy of Capital Expenditure Plans of
European Industry and Possibilities to
Improve the Forecasting Performance 307
K. SCHOLER
Leading Indicators for West German Industries 345
3B Investment Surveys
Chairperson: Jean Jacques Vanhaelen 371
I. J. PYYTHIA
Investment Plans, Innovations and
Credit Market Deregulation.
Empirical Results with the Finnish Data 373
3C Consumer Survey
Chairperson: Gernot Nerb 391
E. A. BOEHM / J. S. McDONNELL
Consumer Sentiment Variables as Leading
Indicators of Changes in Consumer
Spending in Australia 393
U. HEILEMANN / M. WENKE
Complementing the Consumption Function
Attitudinal Variables in the
RWI Business Cycle Model 417
IX
4A Tendency Surveys and Econometric Models (Part I)
Chairperson: Eon Smit 443
R. ETTER
Inventory Behaviour of Firms at
Different Levels of Aggregation 445
W. FRANZ / G. HEIDBRINK
The Importance of Business Survey Data
as Rationing Schemes: An Econometric
Investigation for Germany 473
D. WILLSON / S. CHOWDHURY
Alternative Optimizing Models of
Expectation Formation 499
4B Business Cycle Surveys about Economies
in Transition (Part I)
Chairperson: Hentie Boshoff 521
S. P. AUKUTSIONEK / E. V. BELYANOVA
Surveys of Russian Industrial Enterprises
and Commercial Banks: Application for
Research into Transition to the Market 523
I. SUJAN
Business Surveys in Czechoslovakia and
their Use in Official Statistics 535
4C Indicators of Competitiveness and Inflation
Chairperson: Wolfgang Gerstenberger 541
A. GONZALES ROMERO / D. ARANDA MARTIN
Interindustrial Analysis of Profiles
with Business Survey Data 543
X
5A Regional Tests / National Accounts
Chairperson: Giovanni De Cindio 567
S. B. ALGERA / R. J. A. JANNSEN
Relationship between Business Cycle Surveys
and National Accounts Theory and Practice 569
N. BLAKE
The Regional Dimension of the Boom and Slump
in the UK: A Survey Based Analysis 589
5B Tendency Surveys and Econometric Models (Part II)
Chairperson: Dominique Ladiray 621
G. ARMINGER
Dynamic Analysis of Non Metric Individual
Level Business Test Data 623
K. B. CHOW / CH. H. ONG
Incorporating Business Expectations Data in
Econometric Models: Singapore s Experience 639
5C Business Cycle Surveys about Economies
in Transition (Part II)
Chairperson: Frank Schonborn 661
M. KOKOCINSKA / W. PRZYBYLSKA KAPUSCINSKA
Accuracy of Short Term Economic Forecast in
the Light of Different Indicators Estimated
by Means of Business Survey Method 663
XI
6 Plenary Session
Measurement without Theory
Chairperson: Gunter Poser 679
G. H. MOORE / J. R CULLITY
The Historical Record of Leading Indicators
An Answer to Measurement Without Theory 681
K. H. OPPENLANDER
Narrowing the Induction Gap:
Measurement without Theory? 703
XII
i
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| id | DE-604.BV009867707 |
| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T17:42:17Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 1856285758 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-006534601 |
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| physical | XII, 726 S. graph. Darst. |
| publishDate | 1994 |
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| publisher | Avebury |
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| spelling | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 ed. by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer ... Aldershot u.a. Avebury 1994 XII, 726 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Business cycles gtt Business cycles Congresses Economic surveys Congresses Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd rswk-swf Konjunkturdiagnose (DE-588)4139120-2 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)1071861417 Konferenzschrift 1993 Stellenbosch gnd-content Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 s Konjunkturdiagnose (DE-588)4139120-2 s DE-604 Oppenländer, Karl Heinrich 1932-2014 Sonstige (DE-588)119423707 oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=006534601&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 Business cycles gtt Business cycles Congresses Economic surveys Congresses Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd Konjunkturdiagnose (DE-588)4139120-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4032134-4 (DE-588)4139120-2 (DE-588)1071861417 |
| title | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 |
| title_auth | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 |
| title_exact_search | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 |
| title_full | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 ed. by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer ... |
| title_fullStr | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 ed. by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer ... |
| title_full_unstemmed | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 ed. by Karl Heinrich Oppenländer ... |
| title_short | The explanatory power of business cycle surveys |
| title_sort | the explanatory power of business cycle surveys papers presented at the 21st ciret conference proceedings stellenbosch 1993 |
| title_sub | papers presented at the 21st CIRET conference proceedings, Stellenbosch, 1993 |
| topic | Business cycles gtt Business cycles Congresses Economic surveys Congresses Konjunkturzyklus (DE-588)4032134-4 gnd Konjunkturdiagnose (DE-588)4139120-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Business cycles Business cycles Congresses Economic surveys Congresses Konjunkturzyklus Konjunkturdiagnose Konferenzschrift 1993 Stellenbosch |
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