The European monetary system and European monetary union:
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Boulder [u.a.]
Westview Press
1992
|
| Series: | The political economy of global interdependence
|
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Literaturverz. S. 227 - 239 |
| Physical Description: | XVI, 248 S. graph. Darst. |
| ISBN: | 0813379954 |
Staff View
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a The European monetary system and European monetary union |c Michele Fratianni and Jürgen von Hagen |
| 264 | 1 | |a Boulder [u.a.] |b Westview Press |c 1992 | |
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Record in the Search Index
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| adam_text | Contents
List of Tables and Figures xi
Acronyms xiii
Preface xv
1 Principles and Issues of European Monetary Unification 1
1.1 Theoretical Issues and Competing Hypotheses, 2
1.2 Structure and Main Findings of the Book, 5
Notes, 10
2 A Description of the European Monetary System 11
2.1 The Long Road to Monetary Union, 11
2.2 The EMS: Institutions and Policymaking, 19
2.3 The Economic Record of the EMS, 26
2.4 Conclusions, 37
Notes, 38
Appendix 2A: The ECU, Central Parities, and the Indicator of
Divergence, 40
3 Cooperation or Discipline:
The Political Economy of the EMS 43
3.1 The Cooperative Interpretation of the EMS, 44
3.2 The Disciplinary View of the EMS, 48
3.3 A Model of Monetary Policy Making in the EMS, 53
Notes, 57
4 The EMS and Central Bank Credibility 59
4.1 Theoretical Considerations, 59
4.2 Evidence from Inflation Rates, 68
Notes, 72
vii
viii Contents
5 German Dominance in the EMS: The Empirical Evidence 75
5.1 Testable Implications of German Dominance, 76
5.2 The Long Run View of GDH:
Evidence from Monetary Base Growth, 78
5.3 The Short Run View of GDH:
Evidence from Interest Rates, 84
5.4 Other Evidence for German Dominance, 89
5.5 Asymmetries in the EMS, 92
5.6 Conclusions, 94
Notes, 97
¦ 6 The EMS and Central Bank Cooperation 99
6.1 Central Bank Cooperation: Theoretical Foundations, 99
6.2 The EMS as a Surrogate for Cooperation, 103
6.3 Policy Coordination with Imperfect Information, 105
6.4 Policy Coordination in the EMS: A Simulation
Exercise, 108
6.5 Policy Coordination in the EMS and the Process of
European Integration, 118
6.6 Empirical Evidence of EMS Coordination, 128
6.7 Conclusions, 129
Notes, 130
7 Exchange Rate and Inflation Uncertainty in the EMS 133
7.1 Modeling Exchange Rate and Inflation Uncertainty, 134
7.2 Nominal and Real Exchange Rate Uncertainty
in the EMS, 136
7.3 Realignment Uncertainty in the EMS, 146
7.4 Inflation Uncertainty in the EMS, 153
7.5 Conclusions, 155
Notes, 158
8 European Monetary Union 161
8.1 The Costs and Benefitepf European
Monetary Union l6J^
8.2 Central Bankers: Collusion Versus Competition, 163
8.3 Exchange Rate Union or Currency Union? 174 ^_
8.4 The Role of Fiscal Policy in a Monetary Union/l76 j
8.5 Institutional Requirements for a
Low Inflatjo^EMU, 185
8.6 Conclusions,(l87y
Notes, 188
Contents ix
y 9 On the Road to Economic and Monetary Union 191
9.1 The Delors Report: A Strategy for Monetary Union, 191
9.2 Alternative Strategies to Achieve EEMU, 194
9.3 A Public Choice Interpretation of the Delors Proposal, 200
9.4 Choosing a Strategy for EEMU, 203
9.5 Adjustment to Central Bank Dominance, 210
9.6 How Long Should the Transition Period Be? 215
9.7 Conclusions, 218
Notes, 219
10 Conclusions: A Strategy for the Transition to EMU 221
Notes, 225
Bibliography 227
About the Book and Authors 241
Index 243
Tables and Figures
Tables
2.1 The European currency unit 21
2.2 Exchange rate realignments within the EMS 22
2.3 Cumulative bilateral inflation differential 27
2.4 Cumulative percentage change in bilateral
real exchange rates 29
2.5 Variability of the annual growth of the effective
exchange rate 30
2.6 Real interest rates 33
2.1 A EMS bilateral central rates and intervention points 41
3.1 A model of policymaking in the EMS 55
4.1 A simplified model 61
4.2 CPI inflation rates, EMS and non EMS countries 69
5.1 Model characteristics 80
5.2 Hypothesis tests for German dominance 81
5.3 Hypothesis tests for dominance of the DM area 83
5.4 Summary of estimates 86
5.5 Testing strong German dominance 87
5.6 Testing weak German dominance 88
5.7 Responses to unit interest rate innovations 93
5.8 Decomposition of interest rate changes 95
6.1 The simplified model 100
6.2 Parameter values for the symmetric baseline model 110
6.3 Baseline simulations of shocks 113
7.1 Conditional variances of weekly DM
nominal exchange rates 138
7.2 Conditional covariances of weekly DM
nominal exchange rates 139
7.3 Relative changes in conditional variances of weekly
DM exchange rates 141
xi
xii Tables and Figures
7A Conditional variances of monthly DM
real exchange rates 144
7.5 Conditional covariances of monthly DM
real exchange rates 145
7.6 Relative changes in conditional variances of
real exchange rates 146
7.7 Weekly changes of the one month expected DM
exchange rate 148
7.8 Transfer functions for weekly changes of one month
expected exchange rate 149
7.9 Four week forecast error of exchange rate changes 151
7.10 Transfer functions for the forecast error of
exchange rate changes 152
7.11 Conditional variances and covariances of inflation rates 154
7.12 Relative shares of EMS exports 157
8.1 Taxes, monetary base, debt, and inflation rates 169
8.2 Fiscal restraints and fiscal performance of states
in the United States 180
9.1 Alternative paths to EEMU 195
9.2 Required primary deficit to stabilize the debt ratio
at 1990 values 214
9.3 Required primary deficit to stabilize the debt ratio
in absence of risk premium 216
Figures
2.1 EMS and non EMS inflation rates 31
2.2 EMS minus non EMS money base growth 32
2.3 EMS minus non EMS unemployment rates 34
2.4 EMS minus non EMS real GDP growth 35
2.5 Net debt to GDP ratio, EMS versus non EMS 37
6.1 MARs with rising import expenditure shares 116
6.2 MARs with rising interest elasticity money demand 119
6.3 MARSPs with rising import expenditure shares 123
6.4 MARSPs with rising interest elasticity money demand 125
9.1 Real debt growth minus money growth 213
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Fratianni, Michele 1941- Hagen, Jürgen von 1955- |
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| indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:31:12Z |
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| isbn | 0813379954 |
| language | English |
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| spelling | Fratianni, Michele 1941- Verfasser (DE-588)108734374 aut The European monetary system and European monetary union Michele Fratianni and Jürgen von Hagen Boulder [u.a.] Westview Press 1992 XVI, 248 S. graph. Darst. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier The political economy of global interdependence Literaturverz. S. 227 - 239 European Monetary System (Organisation) Système monétaire européen (Organisation) European Monetary System (Organization) Europäische Gemeinschaften (DE-588)35439-9 gnd rswk-swf Politique monétaire - Pays de l'Union européenne Monetary policy -- European Economic Community countries Währungsunion (DE-588)4188829-7 gnd rswk-swf Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd rswk-swf Europäisches Währungssystem (DE-588)4015756-8 gnd rswk-swf Europäische Gemeinschaften. Mitgliedsstaaten Europäisches Währungssystem (DE-588)4015756-8 s Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 s DE-604 Europäische Gemeinschaften (DE-588)35439-9 b Währungsunion (DE-588)4188829-7 s Hagen, Jürgen von 1955- Verfasser (DE-588)120961601 aut HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=003467210&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Fratianni, Michele 1941- Hagen, Jürgen von 1955- The European monetary system and European monetary union European Monetary System (Organisation) Système monétaire européen (Organisation) European Monetary System (Organization) Europäische Gemeinschaften (DE-588)35439-9 gnd Politique monétaire - Pays de l'Union européenne Monetary policy -- European Economic Community countries Währungsunion (DE-588)4188829-7 gnd Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd Europäisches Währungssystem (DE-588)4015756-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)35439-9 (DE-588)4188829-7 (DE-588)4020517-4 (DE-588)4015756-8 |
| title | The European monetary system and European monetary union |
| title_auth | The European monetary system and European monetary union |
| title_exact_search | The European monetary system and European monetary union |
| title_full | The European monetary system and European monetary union Michele Fratianni and Jürgen von Hagen |
| title_fullStr | The European monetary system and European monetary union Michele Fratianni and Jürgen von Hagen |
| title_full_unstemmed | The European monetary system and European monetary union Michele Fratianni and Jürgen von Hagen |
| title_short | The European monetary system and European monetary union |
| title_sort | the european monetary system and european monetary union |
| topic | European Monetary System (Organisation) Système monétaire européen (Organisation) European Monetary System (Organization) Europäische Gemeinschaften (DE-588)35439-9 gnd Politique monétaire - Pays de l'Union européenne Monetary policy -- European Economic Community countries Währungsunion (DE-588)4188829-7 gnd Geschichte (DE-588)4020517-4 gnd Europäisches Währungssystem (DE-588)4015756-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | European Monetary System (Organisation) Système monétaire européen (Organisation) European Monetary System (Organization) Europäische Gemeinschaften Politique monétaire - Pays de l'Union européenne Monetary policy -- European Economic Community countries Währungsunion Geschichte Europäisches Währungssystem Europäische Gemeinschaften. Mitgliedsstaaten |
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