Population structures and models: developments in spatial demography
Saved in:
| Format: | Book |
|---|---|
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
London u.a.
Allen & Unwin
1986
|
| Edition: | 1. publ. |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Item Description: | Literaturverz. S. 390 - 409 |
| Physical Description: | XXII, 417 S. zahlr. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 0043012000 |
Staff View
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| adam_text | Titel: Population structures and models
Autor: Woods, Robert
Jahr: 1986
Contents
Preface page ix
List of tables xv
List of contributors xxi
1 Spatial demography: themes, issues and progress 1
ROBERT WOODS AND PHILIP REES
Part I SPA TIAL VARIA TIONS IN DEMOGRAPHIC
STRUCTURES 5
2 Spatial and temporal patterns 7
ROBERT WOODS
2.1 Demographic relationships 7
2.2 Methods 9
2.3 Limitations 18
3 The spatial dynamics of the demographic transition in
the West 21
ROBERT WOODS
3.1 Introduction 21
3.2 The transition described 23
3.3 Spatial variations 29
3.4 Transition theory 36
3.5 Can the transition be explained? 39
4 The analysis of regional fertility patterns 45
JOHN COWARD
4.1 Introduction 45
4.2 Divergence and convergence 47
4.3 The fertility transition in Trinidad and Tobago 54
4.4 Contemporary fertility variations in England and Wales 58
4.5 Conclusion 64
xi
CONTENTS
5 Rising fertility in developing countries 68
TIM DYSON AND MIKE MURPHY
5.1 Introduction 68
5.2 The evidence 68
5.3 Describing common fertility trends: analytic approaches 82
5.4 Summary and discussion 92
Part II MODELLING AND FORECASTING 95
6 Developments in the modelling of spatial populations 97
PHILIP REES
6.1 What are the Part II chapters about? 97
6.2 Movement, transition and last residence data 99
6.3 How are the components of change formulated? 101
6.4 The measurement of rates 105
6.5 The use of rates in population models 111
6.6 Should observed rates or models of rates be used? 115
6.7 The individual and the household 116
6.8 The modelling of spatial populations within wider
systems 123
6.9 Conclusion 124
7 Choices in the construction of regional population
projections 126
PHILIP REES
7.1 Introduction 126
7.2 Sources of variation in population projection 129
7.3 Accounting frameworks for population projection 133
7.4 Accounts based models: the ways in which the data are
assembled 143
7.5 The ways in which the population system is closed 146
7.6 Research design 148
7.7 A demographic information sytem for 20 UK zones 149
7.8 The projection experiments 154
7.9 Conclusions 159
8 The analysis and projection of interregional migration
in the United Kingdom 160
JOHN STILLWELL
8.1 Introduction 160
8.2 Study area zones, data sources and estimation methods 161
8.3 Characteristics of internal migration in the UK 169
8.4 A modelling system 192
8.5 Conclusions 201
xii
CONTENTS
9 Forecasting place-to-place migration with generalized
linear models 203
FRANS WILLEKENS AND NAZLI BAYDAR
9.1 Introduction 203
9.2 Analysis of the time-series migration data for
forecasting purposes 205
9.3 Modelling the components of migration 220
9.4 Forecasting migration 239
9.5 Conclusions 241
10 Demographic processes and household dynamics:
a microsimulation approach 245
MARTIN CLARKE
10.1 Introduction 245
10.2 Microsimulation: an outline of methodology and a
review of practice 247
10.3 The generation of an initial population using synthetic
sampling 254
10.4 A microsimulation model of household dynamics 263
10.5 Results of numerical simulations 268
10.6 Concluding comments: present problems and future
priorities 272
11 A demographic-economic model of a metropolis 273
MOSS MADDEN AND PETER BATEY
11.1 Introduction 273
11.2 An input-output approach to demographic-economic
modelling 276
11.3 Methodological developments and empirical
applications 278
11.4 The household consumption framework as a
forecasting device 286
11.5 Conclusions 295
Part III RECONSTRUCTION, ESTIMATION AND
EVALUA TION OF DEMOGRAPHIC PA TTERNS 299
12 Demographic estimation: problems, methods and
examples 301
PHILIP REES AND ROBERT WOODS
12.1 A definition of estimation 302
12.2 The concepts used in defining the population stocks
and flows 303
xiii
CONTENTS
12.3 The age-time frameworks adopted 305
12.4 The spatial frameworks adopted 312
12.5 The temporal and accounting frameworks adopted 319
12.6 Example 1: external migration flows from a set of
United Kingdom zones, 1976-81 323
12.7 Example 2: India s spatial demography 329
12.8 Lessons 341
13 Regional population analysis in developing countries:
the creation of a database for Thailand 344
WIM DOEVE
13.1 Introduction 344
13.2 Problems of creating a database 346
13.3 The establishment of a benchmark integrated database
for Thailand 357
13.4 Discussion 365
14 Assessing the United Nations urbanization projections
for the Asian Pacific 367
JACQUES LEDENT AND ANDREI ROGERS
14.1 Introduction 367
14.2 Projected population growth and urbanization in the
Asian Pacific 367
14.3 The components of growth 371
14.4 Urbanization dynamics 376
14.5 Urbanization and development 380
14.6 Conclusion 388
Bibliography 390
Index 410
xiv
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| spelling | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography ed. by Robert Woods 1. publ. London u.a. Allen & Unwin 1986 XXII, 417 S. zahlr. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Literaturverz. S. 390 - 409 Bevolkingsgeografie gtt Géographie de la population Population Population geography Bevölkerungsgeografie (DE-588)4006293-4 gnd rswk-swf Bevölkerungsstruktur (DE-588)4246600-3 gnd rswk-swf Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd rswk-swf (DE-588)4143413-4 Aufsatzsammlung gnd-content Bevölkerungsgeografie (DE-588)4006293-4 s DE-604 Bevölkerungsstruktur (DE-588)4246600-3 s Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 s Woods, Robert Sonstige oth HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=003343278&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography Bevolkingsgeografie gtt Géographie de la population Population Population geography Bevölkerungsgeografie (DE-588)4006293-4 gnd Bevölkerungsstruktur (DE-588)4246600-3 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4006293-4 (DE-588)4246600-3 (DE-588)4114528-8 (DE-588)4143413-4 |
| title | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography |
| title_auth | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography |
| title_exact_search | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography |
| title_full | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography ed. by Robert Woods |
| title_fullStr | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography ed. by Robert Woods |
| title_full_unstemmed | Population structures and models developments in spatial demography ed. by Robert Woods |
| title_short | Population structures and models |
| title_sort | population structures and models developments in spatial demography |
| title_sub | developments in spatial demography |
| topic | Bevolkingsgeografie gtt Géographie de la population Population Population geography Bevölkerungsgeografie (DE-588)4006293-4 gnd Bevölkerungsstruktur (DE-588)4246600-3 gnd Mathematisches Modell (DE-588)4114528-8 gnd |
| topic_facet | Bevolkingsgeografie Géographie de la population Population Population geography Bevölkerungsgeografie Bevölkerungsstruktur Mathematisches Modell Aufsatzsammlung |
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