Image: an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Book |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Dordrecht u.a.
Kluwer Academic Publ.
1990
|
| Series: | Environment & assessment
[1] |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Physical Description: | XII, 289 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 079230957X |
Staff View
MARC
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| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Image |b an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect |c by Jan Rotmans |
| 264 | 1 | |a Dordrecht u.a. |b Kluwer Academic Publ. |c 1990 | |
| 300 | |a XII, 289 S. |b graph. Darst., Kt. | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
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| 490 | 1 | |a Environment & assessment |v [1] | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Klimaänderung | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Air |x Pollution |x Computer simulation | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Climatic changes |x Computer simulation | |
| 650 | 4 | |a Greenhouse effect, Atmospheric |x Computer simulation | |
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Record in the Search Index
| _version_ | 1804118787288465408 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | Contents
* ■ ’
Preface xi
f * . :
Units xii
1 General Introduction 1
1.1 The Problem........................................... 1
1.2 The Model ............................................ 4
2 General Model description of IMAGE 11
2.1 Introduction . ......................... 11
2.2 Description of the Various Modules................... 15
2.2.1 Emission Modules............ . . .............. 15
2.2.2 Concentration Modules ........................ 16
2.2.3 Climate Module ................................ 17
2.2.4 Sea Level Rise Module . . . .................... 18
2.2.5 Socio-Economic Impact Module .................. 19
2.3 Description of Scenarios.............................. 19
2.3.1 Introduction ................................... 19
2.3.2 Energy Supply.................................. 20
2.3.3 Agriculture.................................... 24
2.3.4 CFC Use...................................... 26
2.3.5 Other Trends.................................... 27
2.4 Model Deficiencies and Future Developments........... 27
2.5 Comparison with Other Models........................... 28
2.6 Discussion ............................................ 29
3 The Carbon Cycle Model 31
3.1 Introduction. ........................................ 31
3.2 Model Description.................................... 32
vi
CONTENTS
3.3 Emissions Module ......................................... 32
3.4 Atmospheric Concentrations Module........................... 34
3.5 Ocean Module ............................................... 35
3.6 Terrestrial Biosphere Module *.................. 40
3.7 Deforestation Module ....................................... 45
3.7.1 Introduction ...................... ; ♦ . ..... 45
3.7.2 Description of the Deforestation Model................ 47
3.7.3 Description of the Processes.......................... 53
3.8 Validation and Uncertainty................................. 62
3.9 Results.................................................... 62
3.10 Conclusions............................................ 72
3.11 Appendix.................................................... 74
4 The Methane Module 81
4.1 Introduction............................................... 81
4.2 Model Description.......................................... 82
4.2.1 Structure......................................... 82
4.2.2 Calculation Procedure . . . . . . ..... .• . . . . . . 82
4.2.3 Notation......................... 84
4.3 Emissions............ . ................................ 84
4.4 Concentrations.................. . . .... .... . . 90
4.5 Results................. . . . . . ...... 93
4.6 Conclusions....................... . .... ... .... . . 100
5 The N2O Module 103
5.1 Introduction...................... . . ... . . 103
5.2 N2O Emissions Module ..................... 103
5.3 N2O Concentration Module ........ . . . . . . . . . . . 106
5.4 Results................................................... 107
5.5 Conclusions.............................................. 108
6 The CFCs Module 111
6.1 Introduction............................................... Ill
6.2 CFCs Emissions Module...................................... 112
6.3 CFCs Concentrations Module . ... ..... . ..... ... 116
6.4 Results. . . . ................................ . . . . . .117
6.5 Conclusions . . . ................... . . . .... . . . . . 121
CONTENTS
Vil
7 The Climate Module
7.1 Introduction................
7.2 Model Description . . ...
7.2.1 Equilibrium Response
7.2.2 Transient Response .
7.2.3 Climate Feedbacks .
7.3 Results . . .
7.4 Conclusions
123
123
125
125
129
133
134
146
8 The
8.1
8.2
8.3
8.4
8.5
8.6
8.7
8.8
8.9
Sea Level Rise Module
Basic Trend...............
Thermal Expansion.........
Glaciers and Small Ice Caps
Greenland Ice Cap.........
Antarctic Ice Cap.........
Uncertainties ........
Sea Level Rise Potential . .
Results.................. .
Conclusion ...............
149
150
150
151
152
154
155
156
157
161
9 Socio-Economic Impact 163
9.1 Introduction........................................... 163
9.2 General Model Description ............... . .............164
9.3 Quantification of Impacts for Various Sectors . . . . . . . . . 171
9.3.1 Introduction .................................. 171
9.3.2 Coastal Defence ...................................171
9.3.3 Water Management and Water Supply . ...............178
9.3.4 Agriculture...................................... 180
9.3.5 Energy Use ...................................... 181
9.4 Results................................................. 182
9.5 Conclusions............................................. 191
10 Policy Analysis 193
10.1 Introduction.......................................... 193
10.2 Scenario Calculations ................................... 194
10.3 Low Climate Risk Scenario............................... 195
10.4 Results................................................. 196
10.5 Delayed Response .........................................198
10.6 Future Worlds............................................ 200
viii
CONTENTS
10.7 Conclusions............................. . . . . . . : . . . . 203
11 Temperature Increasing Potential 205
11.1 Introduction............. . . . . . ... . ... . . ...... 205
11.2 Relation between Temperature and Emissions . . ..........205
11.3 Methodology ..................... . . . ... •• . . . . . 206
11.3.1 Definition ........... .... ... . . ..... . . 206
11.3.2 Modelling Approach . . ............... . . . . . 208
11.3.3 Analytical Approach.....................................211
11.4 Results.......................... . . . . . . ... . . . . . . 215
11.5 Conclusions . . ............... ... . . . . . . 220
11.6 Appendix...................... ... ........ .... . . 222
12 Sensitivity Analysis 225
12.1 Introduction. . . . ................... .... i . . . . . . 225
12.2 Metamodelling................................ . ..... . . 226
12.3 Experimental Design . ........... ..... . . ...................228
12.4 A Metamodel for the Costs of Dike Raising .....................230
12.4.1 Introduction . . . ................................. 230
12.4.2 Input and output variables ........................... 230
12.4.3 Specification of the First Metamodel for the Costs of
Dike Raising . . . . . ....... . . ... . . . . . . 230
12.4.4 Experimental Design for the First Metamodel ... ., . 232
12.4.5 Results of the First Metamodel . . T . . . . . . . . . 233
12.4.6 Further Analysis after the First Metamodel .... . . 233
12.4.7 Specification of the Final Metamodel for the Costs of
Dike Raising................. . . ..... . . . . . . 234
12.4.8 Validation of the Final Metamodel . . ... . ... . . 236
12.4.9 Scaling Eifects....................................... 239
12.4.10Conclusions........................................... 240
12.5 A Metamodel for the Ocean Module...........................241
12.5.1 Introduction ......................................... 241
12.5.2 First Metamodel for the Ocean Module . . . ... . . . 242
12.5.3 Further Analysis after the First Metamodel . . . . . . 245
12.5.4 Final Metamodel for the Ocean Module . . . ..... 245
12.5.5 Conclusions . . . .................... . . . . .249
12.6 A Terrestrial Biosphere Metamodel . . ... .......... 249
12.6.1 Introduction .......................... ... . . 249
CONTENTS
IX
12.6.2 Various Metamodels for the Terrestrial Biosphere Mod-
ule ..................................................... 250
12.6.3 Conclusions.......................................256
12.7 General Conclusions.................................... 257
13 Discussion 259
References
263
|
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| author | Rotmans, Jan |
| author_facet | Rotmans, Jan |
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| author_sort | Rotmans, Jan |
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| callnumber-subject | QC - Physics |
| classification_rvk | RB 10438 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)22345568 (DE-599)BVBBV004668597 |
| dewey-full | 551.5/253 |
| dewey-hundreds | 500 - Natural sciences and mathematics |
| dewey-ones | 551 - Geology, hydrology, meteorology |
| dewey-raw | 551.5/253 |
| dewey-search | 551.5/253 |
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| dewey-tens | 550 - Earth sciences |
| discipline | Geologie / Paläontologie Geographie |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV004668597 |
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| indexdate | 2024-07-09T16:15:51Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 079230957X |
| language | English |
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| physical | XII, 289 S. graph. Darst., Kt. |
| publishDate | 1990 |
| publishDateSearch | 1990 |
| publishDateSort | 1990 |
| publisher | Kluwer Academic Publ. |
| record_format | marc |
| series | Environment & assessment |
| series2 | Environment & assessment |
| spelling | Rotmans, Jan Verfasser aut Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect by Jan Rotmans Dordrecht u.a. Kluwer Academic Publ. 1990 XII, 289 S. graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Environment & assessment [1] Klimaänderung Air Pollution Computer simulation Climatic changes Computer simulation Greenhouse effect, Atmospheric Computer simulation Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd rswk-swf IMAGE Programm (DE-588)4278336-7 gnd rswk-swf Treibhauseffekt (DE-588)4226436-4 gnd rswk-swf Berechnung (DE-588)4120997-7 gnd rswk-swf 1\p (DE-588)4113937-9 Hochschulschrift gnd-content IMAGE Programm (DE-588)4278336-7 s DE-604 Treibhauseffekt (DE-588)4226436-4 s Berechnung (DE-588)4120997-7 s Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 s 2\p DE-604 Environment & assessment [1] (DE-604)BV008038253 1 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002868076&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk 2\p cgwrk 20201028 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#cgwrk |
| spellingShingle | Rotmans, Jan Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect Environment & assessment Klimaänderung Air Pollution Computer simulation Climatic changes Computer simulation Greenhouse effect, Atmospheric Computer simulation Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd IMAGE Programm (DE-588)4278336-7 gnd Treibhauseffekt (DE-588)4226436-4 gnd Berechnung (DE-588)4120997-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4039798-1 (DE-588)4278336-7 (DE-588)4226436-4 (DE-588)4120997-7 (DE-588)4113937-9 |
| title | Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect |
| title_auth | Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect |
| title_exact_search | Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect |
| title_full | Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect by Jan Rotmans |
| title_fullStr | Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect by Jan Rotmans |
| title_full_unstemmed | Image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect by Jan Rotmans |
| title_short | Image |
| title_sort | image an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect |
| title_sub | an integrated model to assess the greenhouse effect |
| topic | Klimaänderung Air Pollution Computer simulation Climatic changes Computer simulation Greenhouse effect, Atmospheric Computer simulation Modell (DE-588)4039798-1 gnd IMAGE Programm (DE-588)4278336-7 gnd Treibhauseffekt (DE-588)4226436-4 gnd Berechnung (DE-588)4120997-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Klimaänderung Air Pollution Computer simulation Climatic changes Computer simulation Greenhouse effect, Atmospheric Computer simulation Modell IMAGE Programm Treibhauseffekt Berechnung Hochschulschrift |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=002868076&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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