Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate: methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Paderborn
Schöningh
1985
|
| Schriftenreihe: | Münstersche geographische Arbeiten
21 |
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 114 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| ISBN: | 3506732218 |
Internformat
MARC
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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| adam_text | Titel: Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate
Autor: Bach, Wilfrid
Jahr: 1985
TABLE OF CONTENTS
page
Preface 5
I. CO2 Increase in the Atmosphere and the Role of the Carbon Cycle 11
1. The COy/ciimate problem 11
2. Assessing past CO2 levels 11
2.1 Analysis of tree ring samples 11
2.2 Analysis of ice core samples 12
2.3 Instrumental record of atmospheric CO, trends 13
2.4 Global measurement program 15
3. Effects on the carbon cycle 16
3.1 Role of fossil fuels 16
3.2 Role of the biosphere 17
3.3 Role of the oceans 21
3.4 The global carbon cycle 23
4. Modelinq the carbon cycle 26
4.1 Box models 26
4.2 Box diffusion models 27
4.3 Advective-diffusive models 27
4.4 Multi-box models 27
5. Assessing future C02 levels 28
5.1 Effective airborne fraction 28
5.2 Range of future C02 developments 28
5.3 CO, emission and concentration levels resulting from selected energy scenarios 29
5.4 Long-term C02 developments 31
II. Response of Climate Models to a C02 Increase 32
1. Introduction 32
2. Climate model simulations for a C02 increase: The equilibrium response 32
2.1 Radiative-convective models 32
2.1.1 Model description 32
2.1.2 Model variables 33
2.1.3 Model validation and model response to a CO, doubling 35
2.1.4 One-dimensional model response to a CO, doubling for different conditions in
the earth-atmosphere system 35
2.1.5 Discussion 40
2.2 Enerqy balance models 40
2.2.1 Model description 40
2.2.2 Model variables 40
2.2.3 Model validation and response to a C02 doubling 41
page
2.2.4 Zonally-averaged model response to a C02 doubling for different atmospheric con-
ditions in the earth-atmosphere system 42
2.2.5 Discussion 44
2.3 General circulation models 45
2.3.1 Model description 45
2.3.2 Model characteristics 46
2.3.3 Model validation 50
2.3.4 Model simulations for a C02 increase 52
2.4 The statistical significance of climate model results 55
2.4.1 Introduction 55
2.4.2 The method of Katz 56
2.4.3 The method of Chervin 56
2.4.4 The method of Hayashi 59
3. Climate model simulations for a CO, increase: The transient response 59
3.1 Introduction 59
3.2 Horizontally-averaged transient response 59
3.3 Latitudinal transient response 61
4. Detection of a C02 signal 61
4.1 Introduction 61
4.2 Statistical methods 61
4.3 Deterministic methods 62
5. Summary of climate model results 64
III. Development of Regional Climate Scenarios 65
1. Definition 65
2. Methodology for the development of climate scenarios 65
3. Use of analog studies in impact analysis 67
3.1 Paleoclimatic data 67
3.2 Historical data 68
3.2.1 Comparison of warm and cold periods 68
3.2.2 Similarity method for analysing climatic fluctuations 72
3.3 Comments on the use of analog studies 73
4. Use of climate models in impact analysis 73
4.1 Model requirements for impact analysis 73
4.1.1 Model characteristics 75
4.1.2 Model performance 75
4.2 Data processing 76
4.2.1 Processing of GCM-generated data 76
4.2.2 Calculation of statistical parameters 77
4.2.3 Calculation of the parameters used for pattern comparison 77
page
4.3 Model verification 77
4.3.1 Verification of the temperature and precipitation rate distributions for the
GISS control experiment 79
4.3.2 Verification of the temperature and precipitation rate distributions for the
BMO control experiment 79
4.4 Climate change scenarios for the study area 80
4.4.1 Longitudinally-averaged distributions 80
4.4.2 Reqional distributions 86
4.4.3 Pattern comparison 93
4.4.4 Comparison of the model scenarios 99
5. Comparison of analog and model scenarios 104
6. Summary and concluding remarks 105
7. Zusammenfassung 106
References 108
|
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| author | Bach, Wilfrid 1936-2015 Jung, Hans-Josef Knottenberg, Heinrich |
| author_GND | (DE-588)170149846 |
| author_facet | Bach, Wilfrid 1936-2015 Jung, Hans-Josef Knottenberg, Heinrich |
| author_role | aut aut aut |
| author_sort | Bach, Wilfrid 1936-2015 |
| author_variant | w b wb h j j hjj h k hk |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV000420385 |
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| dewey-hundreds | 300 - Social sciences |
| dewey-ones | 363 - Other social problems and services |
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| dewey-search | 363.738 74 015118 |
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| dewey-tens | 360 - Social problems and services; associations |
| discipline | Geowissenschaften Soziologie Geographie |
| format | Book |
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| illustrated | Illustrated |
| indexdate | 2024-07-09T15:13:46Z |
| institution | BVB |
| isbn | 3506732218 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-000259805 |
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| physical | 114 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. |
| publishDate | 1985 |
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| spelling | Bach, Wilfrid 1936-2015 Verfasser (DE-588)170149846 aut Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures Wilfrid Bach ; Hans-Josef Jung ; Heinrich Knottenberg Paderborn Schöningh 1985 114 S. Ill., graph. Darst., Kt. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Münstersche geographische Arbeiten 21 Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd rswk-swf Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd rswk-swf Kohlenwasserstoffe (DE-588)4125165-9 gnd rswk-swf Kohlendioxid (DE-588)4031648-8 gnd rswk-swf Numerisches Modell (DE-588)4338132-7 gnd rswk-swf Kohlendioxid (DE-588)4031648-8 s Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 s DE-604 Kohlenwasserstoffe (DE-588)4125165-9 s Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 s Numerisches Modell (DE-588)4338132-7 s Jung, Hans-Josef Verfasser aut Knottenberg, Heinrich Verfasser aut Münstersche geographische Arbeiten 21 (DE-604)BV002595927 21 HBZ Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000259805&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| spellingShingle | Bach, Wilfrid 1936-2015 Jung, Hans-Josef Knottenberg, Heinrich Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures Münstersche geographische Arbeiten Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd Kohlenwasserstoffe (DE-588)4125165-9 gnd Kohlendioxid (DE-588)4031648-8 gnd Numerisches Modell (DE-588)4338132-7 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)4031170-3 (DE-588)4164199-1 (DE-588)4125165-9 (DE-588)4031648-8 (DE-588)4338132-7 |
| title | Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures |
| title_auth | Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures |
| title_exact_search | Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures |
| title_full | Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures Wilfrid Bach ; Hans-Josef Jung ; Heinrich Knottenberg |
| title_fullStr | Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures Wilfrid Bach ; Hans-Josef Jung ; Heinrich Knottenberg |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures Wilfrid Bach ; Hans-Josef Jung ; Heinrich Knottenberg |
| title_short | Modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate |
| title_sort | modeling the influence of carbon dioxide on the global and regional climate methodology and results with 15 tables and 76 figures |
| title_sub | methodology and results ; with 15 tables and 76 figures |
| topic | Klima (DE-588)4031170-3 gnd Klimaänderung (DE-588)4164199-1 gnd Kohlenwasserstoffe (DE-588)4125165-9 gnd Kohlendioxid (DE-588)4031648-8 gnd Numerisches Modell (DE-588)4338132-7 gnd |
| topic_facet | Klima Klimaänderung Kohlenwasserstoffe Kohlendioxid Numerisches Modell |
| url | http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=000259805&sequence=000002&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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