How to think about progress: a skeptic's guide to technology
How to Think about Progress is an interdisciplinary work exploring whether optimistic claims about technology’s potential stand up to humanity’s most difficult challenges. Will technology solve the problems of climate change, pandemics, cancer, loneliness, unhappiness, and even death? The authors sh...
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Hauptverfasser: | , , |
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Format: | Buch |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Cham
Springer
[2024]
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Ausgabe: | 2024 |
Schriftenreihe: | Library of ethics and applied philosophy
Volume 42 |
Schlagworte: | |
Online-Zugang: | Inhaltsverzeichnis |
Zusammenfassung: | How to Think about Progress is an interdisciplinary work exploring whether optimistic claims about technology’s potential stand up to humanity’s most difficult challenges. Will technology solve the problems of climate change, pandemics, cancer, loneliness, unhappiness, and even death? The authors show that techno-hype is all too often accepted because of the horizon bias, i.e. the modern propensity to believe that any problem that can be solved with technology will be solved in the very near future. The authors situate their analysis in a broad context, drawing on history, literature, and popular culture to emphasize their case against techno-hype. They also draw on a wide range of research, including that of biologists, philosophers of science and of language, psychologists, theorists of technological change, specialists on digital technologies, historians of ideas, and economists. As a corrective to much mainstream "futurism," the book offers principles for seeing through much of the techno-hype that circulates online and in best-selling books. The authors share insights (without the jargon) from a variety of academic disciplines, making this book an engaging read for all audiences. Readers will find a balanced framework for thinking and writing about technological progress in the face of truly vexing challenges like cancer, climate change, and colonizing mars |
Beschreibung: | X, 140 p. 3 illus. in color. - How to Think about Progress is an interdisciplinary work exploring whether optimistic claims about technology’s potential stand up to humanity’s most difficult challenges. Will technology solve the problems of climate change, pandemics, cancer, loneliness, unhappiness, and even death? The authors show that techno-hype is all too often accepted because of the horizon bias, i.e. the modern propensity to believe that any problem that can be solved with technology will be solved in the very near future. The authors situate their analysis in a broad context, drawing on history, literature, and popular culture to emphasize their case against techno-hype. They also draw on a wide range of research, including that of biologists, philosophers of science and of language, psychologists, theorists of technological change, specialists on digital technologies, historians of ideas, and economists. As a corrective to much mainstream "futurism," the book offers principles for seeing through much of the techno-hype that circulates online and in best-selling books. The authors share insights (without the jargon) from a variety of academic disciplines, making this book an engaging read for all audiences. Readers will find a balanced framework for thinking and writing about technological progress in the face of truly vexing challenges like cancer, climate change, and colonizing mars Preface.- Introduction.- The Rise of the Futurists.- The Horizon Bias.- The End of Disease.- Onward, to Mars.- But, What about Exponential Progress.- The Hand-off.- Waiting for the Techno Rapture. |
Beschreibung: | xii, 135 Seiten Diagramme 235 mm |
ISBN: | 9783031689376 |
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500 | |a Preface.- Introduction.- The Rise of the Futurists.- The Horizon Bias.- The End of Disease.- Onward, to Mars.- But, What about Exponential Progress.- The Hand-off.- Waiting for the Techno Rapture. | ||
520 | |a How to Think about Progress is an interdisciplinary work exploring whether optimistic claims about technology’s potential stand up to humanity’s most difficult challenges. Will technology solve the problems of climate change, pandemics, cancer, loneliness, unhappiness, and even death? The authors show that techno-hype is all too often accepted because of the horizon bias, i.e. the modern propensity to believe that any problem that can be solved with technology will be solved in the very near future. The authors situate their analysis in a broad context, drawing on history, literature, and popular culture to emphasize their case against techno-hype. They also draw on a wide range of research, including that of biologists, philosophers of science and of language, psychologists, theorists of technological change, specialists on digital technologies, historians of ideas, and economists. As a corrective to much mainstream "futurism," the book offers principles for seeing through much of the techno-hype that circulates online and in best-selling books. The authors share insights (without the jargon) from a variety of academic disciplines, making this book an engaging read for all audiences. Readers will find a balanced framework for thinking and writing about technological progress in the face of truly vexing challenges like cancer, climate change, and colonizing mars | ||
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Datensatz im Suchindex
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adam_text |
Contents 1 Introduction. I The Horizon Bias. 2 Infantry or Cavalry?. 6 The Lure of the Climate Hack. 8 The Big Cs. 9 References. jq 2 The Rise of the Futurists. New Vistas. Great Anticipations. The Need to Know. Chasing Plausibility. References. 13 15 18 20 22 24 3 The Horizon Bias. . The Problem of Knowing Too Much. Manifesto Science vs. Normal Science. How-Possibly
Explanations. If You WILT It, It Is No Dream. Miracle Thinking. Moonshots versus Mars-shots. The Limits of Epistemic Possibility. The Case for Pessimism About Civilizational Problems. References. 25 27 28 29 30 32 34 37 39 41 4 The End of Disease!. Two Faces of Progress. What Is the Cure for Cancer?. The Horizon Bias vs. Sci-Fi Cures. A Cure for Diabetes, Too?. Hedonic Normalization. References. 43 44 46 49 52 54 58 xi
xii 5 Contents Onward, to Mars!. The Dream Economy. “I Have a Bridge to Sell You”. Cloudy With a Chance of BS. Prediction as Propaganda. References. 6 But, What About Exponential Progress?. Why This Time Isn’t Different. ABC, Easy as 1-2-4. This Changes Everything !. Going Nuclear (Metaphorically). Unknown Unknowns. High-Hanging Fruit. Moore’s Nemesis. Where the Rubber Meets the Road.
References. 7 The Hand-Off. Adversaries with Evolution on Their Side. Alien Intelligence. Paging Dr. Robot. Not Like Riding a Bike. The Last Mile Is the Longest. What Would It Mean to Hand Off Control?. Out of Our Hands. References. 8 Waiting for the Techno Rapture. The Modern Creed. Imperfect But Necessary Metaphors. Perspectives on Progress. Progressing While Cancering. Progress Is as Progress Does.
The Limits of Progress. Material Encouragement. References. 61 63 65 66 68 70 71 73 74 80 82 83 86 88 91 92 95 97 98 99 101 103 106 108 110 113 115 117 122 124 126 127 131 133 |
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author | Agar, Nicholas 1965- Whatley, Stuart Weijers, Dan |
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ctrlnum | (DE-599)BVBBV050035917 |
discipline | Soziologie |
edition | 2024 |
format | Book |
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spelling | Agar, Nicholas 1965- Verfasser (DE-588)1140750194 aut How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology Nicholas Agar, Stuart Whatley, Dan Weijers Cham Springer [2024] xii, 135 Seiten Diagramme 235 mm txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Library of ethics and applied philosophy Volume 42 X, 140 p. 3 illus. in color. - How to Think about Progress is an interdisciplinary work exploring whether optimistic claims about technology’s potential stand up to humanity’s most difficult challenges. Will technology solve the problems of climate change, pandemics, cancer, loneliness, unhappiness, and even death? The authors show that techno-hype is all too often accepted because of the horizon bias, i.e. the modern propensity to believe that any problem that can be solved with technology will be solved in the very near future. The authors situate their analysis in a broad context, drawing on history, literature, and popular culture to emphasize their case against techno-hype. They also draw on a wide range of research, including that of biologists, philosophers of science and of language, psychologists, theorists of technological change, specialists on digital technologies, historians of ideas, and economists. As a corrective to much mainstream "futurism," the book offers principles for seeing through much of the techno-hype that circulates online and in best-selling books. The authors share insights (without the jargon) from a variety of academic disciplines, making this book an engaging read for all audiences. Readers will find a balanced framework for thinking and writing about technological progress in the face of truly vexing challenges like cancer, climate change, and colonizing mars Preface.- Introduction.- The Rise of the Futurists.- The Horizon Bias.- The End of Disease.- Onward, to Mars.- But, What about Exponential Progress.- The Hand-off.- Waiting for the Techno Rapture. How to Think about Progress is an interdisciplinary work exploring whether optimistic claims about technology’s potential stand up to humanity’s most difficult challenges. Will technology solve the problems of climate change, pandemics, cancer, loneliness, unhappiness, and even death? The authors show that techno-hype is all too often accepted because of the horizon bias, i.e. the modern propensity to believe that any problem that can be solved with technology will be solved in the very near future. The authors situate their analysis in a broad context, drawing on history, literature, and popular culture to emphasize their case against techno-hype. They also draw on a wide range of research, including that of biologists, philosophers of science and of language, psychologists, theorists of technological change, specialists on digital technologies, historians of ideas, and economists. As a corrective to much mainstream "futurism," the book offers principles for seeing through much of the techno-hype that circulates online and in best-selling books. The authors share insights (without the jargon) from a variety of academic disciplines, making this book an engaging read for all audiences. Readers will find a balanced framework for thinking and writing about technological progress in the face of truly vexing challenges like cancer, climate change, and colonizing mars bicssc bisacsh Technology—Sociological aspects Technological innovations Technology—Philosophy Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 gnd rswk-swf Hardcover, Softcover / Philosophie/Sonstiges Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 s DE-604 Whatley, Stuart Verfasser aut Weijers, Dan Verfasser (DE-588)1035799839 aut Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe 978-3-031-68938-3 Digitalisierung UB Bamberg - ADAM Catalogue Enrichment application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=035373775&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis |
spellingShingle | Agar, Nicholas 1965- Whatley, Stuart Weijers, Dan How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology bicssc bisacsh Technology—Sociological aspects Technological innovations Technology—Philosophy Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 gnd |
subject_GND | (DE-588)4059252-2 |
title | How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology |
title_auth | How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology |
title_exact_search | How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology |
title_full | How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology Nicholas Agar, Stuart Whatley, Dan Weijers |
title_fullStr | How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology Nicholas Agar, Stuart Whatley, Dan Weijers |
title_full_unstemmed | How to think about progress a skeptic's guide to technology Nicholas Agar, Stuart Whatley, Dan Weijers |
title_short | How to think about progress |
title_sort | how to think about progress a skeptic s guide to technology |
title_sub | a skeptic's guide to technology |
topic | bicssc bisacsh Technology—Sociological aspects Technological innovations Technology—Philosophy Technischer Fortschritt (DE-588)4059252-2 gnd |
topic_facet | bicssc bisacsh Technology—Sociological aspects Technological innovations Technology—Philosophy Technischer Fortschritt |
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