Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts:
In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budg...
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Format: | Elektronisch Artikel |
Sprache: | English |
Veröffentlicht: |
Paris
OECD Publishing
2014
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Online-Zugang: | Volltext |
Zusammenfassung: | In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty. |
Beschreibung: | 1 Online-Ressource (19 p.) 21 x 28cm. |
DOI: | 10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |
Internformat
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author | Clark, John |
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author_facet | Clark, John Gibbons, Caroline Morrissey, Susan Pooley, Joshua Pye, Emily Wilcox, Rhett Willard, Luke |
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doi_str_mv | 10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |
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spelling | Clark, John VerfasserIn aut Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John, Clark ... [et al] Paris OECD Publishing 2014 1 Online-Ressource (19 p.) 21 x 28cm. Text txt rdacontent Computermedien c rdamedia Online-Ressource cr rdacarrier In this article, past forecast errors are used to construct confidence intervals around Australian Government Budget forecasts of key economic and fiscal variables. These confidence intervals provide an indication of the extent of uncertainty around the point estimate forecasts presented in the Budget. JEL classification numbers: E17, H68. Keywords: Confidence intervals, forecast errors, government budget, nominal GDP, real GDP, treasury, uncertainty. Finance and Investment Governance Gibbons, Caroline MitwirkendeR ctb Morrissey, Susan MitwirkendeR ctb Pooley, Joshua MitwirkendeR ctb Pye, Emily MitwirkendeR ctb Wilcox, Rhett MitwirkendeR ctb Willard, Luke MitwirkendeR ctb Enthalten in OECD Journal on Budgeting Vol. 13, no. 3, p. 1-19 volume:13 year:2014 number:3 pages:1-19 FWS01 ZDB-13-SOC FWS_PDA_SOC https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j Volltext |
spellingShingle | Clark, John Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts Finance and Investment Governance |
title | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
title_auth | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
title_exact_search | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
title_full | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John, Clark ... [et al] |
title_fullStr | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John, Clark ... [et al] |
title_full_unstemmed | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts John, Clark ... [et al] |
title_short | Estimates of uncertainty around Australian budget forecasts |
title_sort | estimates of uncertainty around australian budget forecasts |
topic | Finance and Investment Governance |
topic_facet | Finance and Investment Governance |
url | https://doi.org/10.1787/budget-13-5jxvd4xlns7j |
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