Cointegration and consumption risks in asset returns:

We argue that the cointegrating relation between dividends and consumption, a measure of long run consumption risks, is a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks disappear, and the asset's beta is dominated by long run con...

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Hauptverfasser: Bansal, Ravi (VerfasserIn), Dittmar, Robert F. (VerfasserIn), Kiku, Dana (VerfasserIn)
Format: Buch
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Cambridge, Mass. National Bureau of Economic Research 2007
Schriftenreihe:Working paper series / National Bureau of Economic Research 13108
Online-Zugang:Volltext
Zusammenfassung:We argue that the cointegrating relation between dividends and consumption, a measure of long run consumption risks, is a key determinant of risk premia at all investment horizons. As the investment horizon increases, transitory risks disappear, and the asset's beta is dominated by long run consumption risks. We show that the return betas, derived from the cointegration-based VAR (EC-VAR) model, successfully account for the crosssectional variation in equity returns at both short and long horizons; this is not the case when the cointegrating restriction is ignored. Our evidence highlights the importance of cointegration-based long run consumption risks for financial markets.
Beschreibung:Literaturverz. S. 37 - 39
Beschreibung:52 S. graph. Darst. 22 cm

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