Financial systems and economic crises: the main determinants of financial instability
Gespeichert in:
| Hauptverfasser: | , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Buch |
| Sprache: | English |
| Veröffentlicht: |
Berlin ; Bruxelles ; Lausanne ; New York ; Oxford
Peter Lang
[2022]
|
| Schlagworte: | |
| Online-Zugang: | Inhaltstext Inhaltsverzeichnis |
| Beschreibung: | 253 Seiten Diagramme |
| ISBN: | 9783631876947 3631876947 |
Internformat
MARC
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| 100 | 1 | |a Dragoe, Sebastian-Ilie |d 1991- |e Verfasser |0 (DE-588)1268139866 |4 aut | |
| 245 | 1 | 0 | |a Financial systems and economic crises |b the main determinants of financial instability |c Sebastian-Ilie Dragoe and Camelia Oprean-Stan |
| 264 | 1 | |a Berlin ; Bruxelles ; Lausanne ; New York ; Oxford |b Peter Lang |c [2022] | |
| 264 | 4 | |c © 2022 | |
| 300 | |a 253 Seiten |b Diagramme | ||
| 336 | |b txt |2 rdacontent | ||
| 337 | |b n |2 rdamedia | ||
| 338 | |b nc |2 rdacarrier | ||
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| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Wirtschaftskrise |0 (DE-588)4066466-1 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 650 | 0 | 7 | |a Geldpolitik |0 (DE-588)4019902-2 |2 gnd |9 rswk-swf |
| 689 | 0 | 0 | |a Wirtschaftskrise |0 (DE-588)4066466-1 |D s |
| 689 | 0 | 1 | |a Finanzkrise |0 (DE-588)7635855-0 |D s |
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Datensatz im Suchindex
| _version_ | 1804184262262390784 |
|---|---|
| adam_text | TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
LIST
OF
ABBREVIATIONS
11
INTRODUCTION
..............................................................................................
13
1
THE
RADIOGRAPHY
OF
THE
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM,
WITH
A
FOCUS
ON
THE
UNITED
STATES
..................................................................................
15
1.1.
THE
DIFFERENT
ASPECTS
OF
THE
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM
IN
GENERAL
.....................
15
1.2.
FINANCIAL
-
MONETARY
ECONOMY
FUNDAMENTALS
....................................
19
1.2.1
MONEY
SUPPLY:
MONEY
CREATION
BY
THE
CENTRAL
AND
COMMERCIAL
BANKS
........................................................................
20
1.2.2
MONEY
CREATION
AND
MONETARY
DESTRUCTION
..............................
20
1.2.3
QUESTIONING
THE
MONEY
MULTIPLIER
PROCESS
................................
21
1.2.4
NON-NEUTRALITY
AND
SUPER
NON-NEUTRALITY
OF
MONEY
..................
30
1.3.
DEVELOPMENTS
IN
THE
CURRENT
U.S.
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM
.............................
35
1.3.1.
LOAN
AND
BANK
CREDIT
DECOUPLING
FROM
MONEY
AND
NONBANKING
SUPERFINANCIALIZATION
...............................................
35
1.3.1.1.
CREDIT
AGGREGATES:
SUITABLE
FOR
NOMINAL
GDP
TARGETING?
........................................................................
40
1.3.1.2.
FINANCIAL
INTERCONNECTIONS
............................................
45
1.3.1.3.
SECURITIZATION,
CREDIT
ORIGINS,
AND
HOLDINGS
.................
47
1.3.2.
THE
FED
S
ROLE
IN
CAUSING
THE
GREAT
MODERATION
...........................
52
1.3.3.
THE
MOVEMENT
OF
LONG-TERM
AND
SHORT-TERM
INTEREST
RATES
........
56
1.4.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
........................................................................
58
2
HISTORICAL,
CONCEPTUAL,
AND
EMPIRICAL
APPROACHES
TO
CRISES
.
61
2.1.
THE
INFLUENCE
OF
THE
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM
ON
ECONOMIC
CRISES:
THE
HISTORICAL
CONTEXT
....................................................................................
61
2.1.1.
TULIP
CRISIS
.....................................................................................
62
8
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
2.1.2.
THE
PANIC
OF
1907
..........................................................................
62
2.1.3.
GREAT
DEPRESSION
OF
THE
1930S
......................................................
63
2.1.4.
GREAT
STAGFLATION
...........................................................................
63
2.1.5.
DOTCOM
MANIA
..............................................................................
64
2.1.6.
THE
GREAT
RECESSION
........................................................................
64
2.2.
CONSIDERATIONS
ABOUT
EQUILIBRIUM
ILLUSIONS
........................................
65
2.3.
THE
CURRENT
STATUS
OF
THE
LITERATURE
ON
ECONOMIC
AND
FINANCIAL
CRISES
AND
ITS
CRITIQUE
......................................................................
77
2.4.
AN
EXAMINATION
OF
RELEVANT
INDICATORS
TO
FORECAST
THE
CRISIS
...............
83
2.4.1.
THE
OMNIPRESENCE
OF
A
FINANCIAL
INDICATOR,
AS
A
PROOF
OF
THE
INSEPARABILITY
OF
BUSINESS
CYCLE
FROM
FINANCIAL
CYCLE
.......
84
2.4.2.
INSTANCES
WHERE
INVERTED
YIELD
CURVE
AND
CREDIT
VARIABLES
MAY
FAIL
TO
PREDICT
CRISIS
.............................................................
107
2.4.3.
OTHER
SUITABLE
INDICATORS
FOR
PREDICTING
CRISES
..........................
115
2.4.4.
SIGNALS
THAT
ARE
TOO
WEAK
OR
HAVE
LOST
THEIR
ABILITY
TO
ADD
INFORMATION
.................................................................................
126
2.5.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
......................................................................
139
3
COORDINATES
AND
DETERMINANTS
OF
FINANCIAL
INSTABILITY
........
141
3.1.
EVIDENCE
FROM
THE
LITERATURE
................................................................
141
3.2.
MAIN
DETERMINANTS
OF
FINANCIAL
INSTABILITY
.........................................
142
3.2.1.
CAPITAL
MOBILITY
AND
THE
SIZE
OF
CAPITAL
.....................................
143
3.2.2.
DECREASING PROFITABILITY
FOR
FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS
.....................
145
3.2.3.
ECONOMIC
INEQUALITY
...................................................................
147
3.2.4.
LOW
AND
STABLE
INFLATION
.............................................................
158
3.3.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
......................................................................
159
4
POTENTIAL
SOLUTIONS
FOR
FINANCIAL
STABILITY
.................................
161
4.1.
THE
ADVANTAGES
OF
CHICAGO
PLAN
..........................................................
161
4.2.
THE
BENEFITS
OF
A
CASHLESS
SOCIETY
.........................................................
163
4.3.
CAPITAL
REQUIREMENTS
MANAGEMENT
163
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
9
4.4.
INFLATION
TARGETING
VERSUS
PRICE-LEVEL
TARGETING,
INFLATION
CHANNEL,
AND
NOMINAL
GDP
........................................................................
165
4.5.
YIELD
CURVE
AND
INTEREST
RATES
MANAGEMENT
.......................................
168
4.6.
CONSIDERATIONS
ON
HELICOPTER
MONEY
DROP
SOLUTION
......................
171
4.7.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
......................................................................
173
5
ECONOMIC
CRISIS
FORECAST
MODEL
..................................................
175
5.1.
THE
USUAL
RECESSION
MECHANISM
..........................................................
175
5.2.
THE
MODEL
PROPOSAL
..............................................................................
177
5.3.
TESTING
THE
PREDICTIVE
POWER
OF
THE
MODEL
BASED
ON
FINANCIAL
INDICATORS
OF
THE
GREAT
RECESSION
...............................................
192
5.4.
CORONAVIRUS
RECESSION
AND
ITS
CORRELATION
WITH
THE
PROPOSED
MODEL
......................................................................
198
5.5.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
......................................................................
199
REFERENCES
...................................................................................................
201
LIST
OF
APPENDIXES
...................................................................................
247
LIST
OF
FIGURES
...........................................................................................
249
LIST
OF
TABLES
..............................................................................................
255
|
| adam_txt |
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
LIST
OF
ABBREVIATIONS
11
INTRODUCTION
.
13
1
THE
RADIOGRAPHY
OF
THE
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM,
WITH
A
FOCUS
ON
THE
UNITED
STATES
.
15
1.1.
THE
DIFFERENT
ASPECTS
OF
THE
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM
IN
GENERAL
.
15
1.2.
FINANCIAL
-
MONETARY
ECONOMY
FUNDAMENTALS
.
19
1.2.1
MONEY
SUPPLY:
MONEY
CREATION
BY
THE
CENTRAL
AND
COMMERCIAL
BANKS
.
20
1.2.2
MONEY
CREATION
AND
"
MONETARY
DESTRUCTION
'
.
20
1.2.3
QUESTIONING
THE
MONEY
MULTIPLIER
PROCESS
.
21
1.2.4
NON-NEUTRALITY
AND
SUPER
NON-NEUTRALITY
OF
MONEY
.
30
1.3.
DEVELOPMENTS
IN
THE
CURRENT
U.S.
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM
.
35
1.3.1.
LOAN
AND
BANK
CREDIT
DECOUPLING
FROM
MONEY
AND
NONBANKING
SUPERFINANCIALIZATION
.
35
1.3.1.1.
CREDIT
AGGREGATES:
SUITABLE
FOR
NOMINAL
GDP
TARGETING?
.
40
1.3.1.2.
FINANCIAL
INTERCONNECTIONS
.
45
1.3.1.3.
SECURITIZATION,
CREDIT
ORIGINS,
AND
HOLDINGS
.
47
1.3.2.
THE
FED
'
S
ROLE
IN
CAUSING
THE
GREAT
MODERATION
.
52
1.3.3.
THE
MOVEMENT
OF
LONG-TERM
AND
SHORT-TERM
INTEREST
RATES
.
56
1.4.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
.
58
2
HISTORICAL,
CONCEPTUAL,
AND
EMPIRICAL
APPROACHES
TO
CRISES
.
61
2.1.
THE
INFLUENCE
OF
THE
FINANCIAL
SYSTEM
ON
ECONOMIC
CRISES:
THE
HISTORICAL
CONTEXT
.
61
2.1.1.
TULIP
CRISIS
.
62
8
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
2.1.2.
THE
PANIC
OF
1907
.
62
2.1.3.
GREAT
DEPRESSION
OF
THE
1930S
.
63
2.1.4.
GREAT
STAGFLATION
.
63
2.1.5.
DOTCOM
MANIA
.
64
2.1.6.
THE
GREAT
RECESSION
.
64
2.2.
CONSIDERATIONS
ABOUT
EQUILIBRIUM
ILLUSIONS
.
65
2.3.
THE
CURRENT
STATUS
OF
THE
LITERATURE
ON
ECONOMIC
AND
FINANCIAL
CRISES
AND
ITS
CRITIQUE
.
77
2.4.
AN
EXAMINATION
OF
RELEVANT
INDICATORS
TO
FORECAST
THE
CRISIS
.
83
2.4.1.
THE
OMNIPRESENCE
OF
A
FINANCIAL
INDICATOR,
AS
A
PROOF
OF
THE
INSEPARABILITY
OF
BUSINESS
CYCLE
FROM
FINANCIAL
CYCLE
.
84
2.4.2.
INSTANCES
WHERE
INVERTED
YIELD
CURVE
AND
CREDIT
VARIABLES
MAY
FAIL
TO
PREDICT
CRISIS
.
107
2.4.3.
OTHER
SUITABLE
INDICATORS
FOR
PREDICTING
CRISES
.
115
2.4.4.
SIGNALS
THAT
ARE
TOO
WEAK
OR
HAVE
LOST
THEIR
ABILITY
TO
ADD
INFORMATION
.
126
2.5.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
.
139
3
COORDINATES
AND
DETERMINANTS
OF
FINANCIAL
INSTABILITY
.
141
3.1.
EVIDENCE
FROM
THE
LITERATURE
.
141
3.2.
MAIN
DETERMINANTS
OF
FINANCIAL
INSTABILITY
.
142
3.2.1.
CAPITAL
MOBILITY
AND
THE
SIZE
OF
CAPITAL
.
143
3.2.2.
DECREASING PROFITABILITY
FOR
FINANCIAL
INSTITUTIONS
.
145
3.2.3.
ECONOMIC
INEQUALITY
.
147
3.2.4.
LOW
AND
STABLE
INFLATION
.
158
3.3.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
.
159
4
POTENTIAL
SOLUTIONS
FOR
FINANCIAL
STABILITY
.
161
4.1.
THE
ADVANTAGES
OF
CHICAGO
PLAN
.
161
4.2.
THE
BENEFITS
OF
A
CASHLESS
SOCIETY
.
163
4.3.
CAPITAL
REQUIREMENTS
MANAGEMENT
163
TABLE
OF
CONTENTS
9
4.4.
INFLATION
TARGETING
VERSUS
PRICE-LEVEL
TARGETING,
INFLATION
CHANNEL,
AND
NOMINAL
GDP
.
165
4.5.
YIELD
CURVE
AND
INTEREST
RATES
MANAGEMENT
.
168
4.6.
CONSIDERATIONS
ON
"
HELICOPTER
MONEY
DROP
"
SOLUTION
.
171
4.7.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
.
173
5
ECONOMIC
CRISIS
FORECAST
MODEL
.
175
5.1.
THE
USUAL
RECESSION
MECHANISM
.
175
5.2.
THE
MODEL
PROPOSAL
.
177
5.3.
TESTING
THE
PREDICTIVE
POWER
OF
THE
MODEL
BASED
ON
FINANCIAL
INDICATORS
OF
THE
GREAT
RECESSION
.
192
5.4.
CORONAVIRUS
RECESSION
AND
ITS
CORRELATION
WITH
THE
PROPOSED
MODEL
.
198
5.5.
PRELIMINARY
CONCLUSIONS
.
199
REFERENCES
.
201
LIST
OF
APPENDIXES
.
247
LIST
OF
FIGURES
.
249
LIST
OF
TABLES
.
255 |
| any_adam_object | 1 |
| any_adam_object_boolean | 1 |
| author | Dragoe, Sebastian-Ilie 1991- Oprean Stan, Camelia |
| author_GND | (DE-588)1268139866 (DE-588)1268140198 |
| author_facet | Dragoe, Sebastian-Ilie 1991- Oprean Stan, Camelia |
| author_role | aut aut |
| author_sort | Dragoe, Sebastian-Ilie 1991- |
| author_variant | s i d sid s c o sc sco |
| building | Verbundindex |
| bvnumber | BV048381189 |
| classification_rvk | QK 900 QN 200 |
| ctrlnum | (OCoLC)1329438020 (DE-599)DNB1262094593 |
| discipline | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| discipline_str_mv | Wirtschaftswissenschaften |
| format | Book |
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| id | DE-604.BV048381189 |
| illustrated | Not Illustrated |
| index_date | 2024-07-03T20:18:49Z |
| indexdate | 2024-07-10T09:36:32Z |
| institution | BVB |
| institution_GND | (DE-588)1065711506 |
| isbn | 9783631876947 3631876947 |
| language | English |
| oai_aleph_id | oai:aleph.bib-bvb.de:BVB01-033760036 |
| oclc_num | 1329438020 |
| open_access_boolean | |
| owner | DE-11 DE-12 DE-N2 DE-945 |
| owner_facet | DE-11 DE-12 DE-N2 DE-945 |
| physical | 253 Seiten Diagramme |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publishDateSearch | 2022 |
| publishDateSort | 2022 |
| publisher | Peter Lang |
| record_format | marc |
| spelling | Dragoe, Sebastian-Ilie 1991- Verfasser (DE-588)1268139866 aut Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability Sebastian-Ilie Dragoe and Camelia Oprean-Stan Berlin ; Bruxelles ; Lausanne ; New York ; Oxford Peter Lang [2022] © 2022 253 Seiten Diagramme txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd rswk-swf Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 gnd rswk-swf Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 gnd rswk-swf Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 s Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 s Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 s Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 s DE-604 Oprean Stan, Camelia Verfasser (DE-588)1268140198 aut Peter Lang GmbH (DE-588)1065711506 pbl Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe, PDF 978-3-631-87947-4 Erscheint auch als Online-Ausgabe, EPUB 978-3-631-87948-1 X:MVB text/html http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=1d701bcb47674075a2144af5b6f74807&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm Inhaltstext DNB Datenaustausch application/pdf http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033760036&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA Inhaltsverzeichnis 1\p vlb 20220708 DE-101 https://d-nb.info/provenance/plan#vlb |
| spellingShingle | Dragoe, Sebastian-Ilie 1991- Oprean Stan, Camelia Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 gnd Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 gnd Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 gnd |
| subject_GND | (DE-588)7635855-0 (DE-588)4073788-3 (DE-588)4066466-1 (DE-588)4019902-2 |
| title | Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability |
| title_auth | Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability |
| title_exact_search | Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability |
| title_exact_search_txtP | Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability |
| title_full | Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability Sebastian-Ilie Dragoe and Camelia Oprean-Stan |
| title_fullStr | Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability Sebastian-Ilie Dragoe and Camelia Oprean-Stan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability Sebastian-Ilie Dragoe and Camelia Oprean-Stan |
| title_short | Financial systems and economic crises |
| title_sort | financial systems and economic crises the main determinants of financial instability |
| title_sub | the main determinants of financial instability |
| topic | Finanzkrise (DE-588)7635855-0 gnd Kreditmarkt (DE-588)4073788-3 gnd Wirtschaftskrise (DE-588)4066466-1 gnd Geldpolitik (DE-588)4019902-2 gnd |
| topic_facet | Finanzkrise Kreditmarkt Wirtschaftskrise Geldpolitik |
| url | http://deposit.dnb.de/cgi-bin/dokserv?id=1d701bcb47674075a2144af5b6f74807&prov=M&dok_var=1&dok_ext=htm http://bvbr.bib-bvb.de:8991/F?func=service&doc_library=BVB01&local_base=BVB01&doc_number=033760036&sequence=000001&line_number=0001&func_code=DB_RECORDS&service_type=MEDIA |
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